Mike Rogers commands overwhelming trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his strong fundraising—$2.2 million raised in Q1 2026, entering April with $4.2 million cash on hand—and party establishment support as the 2024 nominee who nearly flipped the seat. Minor challengers like dentist Kent Benham, engineer Fred Heurtebise, and former Michigan GOP co-chair Bernadette Smith lack resources or name recognition to mount a credible threat, with no recent polls showing erosion of his lead. While late scandals, health issues, or a high-profile entrant could shift odds, historical primary patterns favor early frontrunners in low-contention fields.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Mike Rogers 93%
Kent Benham 3.0%
Andrew Kamal 2.5%
Fred Heurtebise 1.9%
Mike Rogers
93%
Kent Benham
3%
Andrew Kamal
3%
Fred Heurtebise
2%
Bernadette Smith
2%
Genevieve Scott
1%
Mike Rogers 93%
Kent Benham 3.0%
Andrew Kamal 2.5%
Fred Heurtebise 1.9%
Mike Rogers
93%
Kent Benham
3%
Andrew Kamal
3%
Fred Heurtebise
2%
Bernadette Smith
2%
Genevieve Scott
1%
If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Rogers commands overwhelming trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his strong fundraising—$2.2 million raised in Q1 2026, entering April with $4.2 million cash on hand—and party establishment support as the 2024 nominee who nearly flipped the seat. Minor challengers like dentist Kent Benham, engineer Fred Heurtebise, and former Michigan GOP co-chair Bernadette Smith lack resources or name recognition to mount a credible threat, with no recent polls showing erosion of his lead. While late scandals, health issues, or a high-profile entrant could shift odds, historical primary patterns favor early frontrunners in low-contention fields.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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