Florida's entrenched Republican voter registration advantage—now over 1 million—drives trader consensus toward a GOP gubernatorial win in the open-seat race, as incumbent Ron DeSantis reaches term limits. Recent Emerson College polling (late March-early April) shows frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading the Republican primary at 46% and topping general election matchups against Democrats like David Jolly (44%-39%) and Jerry Demings (45%-36%), bolstered by his Trump endorsement and record $22 million Q1 fundraising haul reported mid-April. While some surveys indicate tightening contests amid no-party-affiliate support, GOP dominance in recent cycles and the August 18 primaries reinforce the 73% implied probability, though Democratic turnout or nominee strength could shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,961 거래량
$13,961 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
73%
민주당
26%
$13,961 거래량
$13,961 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$5,358 거래량
73%
민주당
$8,604 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's entrenched Republican voter registration advantage—now over 1 million—drives trader consensus toward a GOP gubernatorial win in the open-seat race, as incumbent Ron DeSantis reaches term limits. Recent Emerson College polling (late March-early April) shows frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading the Republican primary at 46% and topping general election matchups against Democrats like David Jolly (44%-39%) and Jerry Demings (45%-36%), bolstered by his Trump endorsement and record $22 million Q1 fundraising haul reported mid-April. While some surveys indicate tightening contests amid no-party-affiliate support, GOP dominance in recent cycles and the August 18 primaries reinforce the 73% implied probability, though Democratic turnout or nominee strength could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$13,961종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's entrenched Republican voter registration advantage—now over 1 million—drives trader consensus toward a GOP gubernatorial win in the open-seat race, as incumbent Ron DeSantis reaches term limits. Recent Emerson College polling (late March-early April) shows frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading the Republican primary at 46% and topping general election matchups against Democrats like David Jolly (44%-39%) and Jerry Demings (45%-36%), bolstered by his Trump endorsement and record $22 million Q1 fundraising haul reported mid-April. While some surveys indicate tightening contests amid no-party-affiliate support, GOP dominance in recent cycles and the August 18 primaries reinforce the 73% implied probability, though Democratic turnout or nominee strength could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$13,961종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's entrenched Republican voter registration advantage—now over 1 million—drives trader consensus toward a GOP gubernatorial win in the open-seat race, as incumbent Ron DeSantis reaches term limits. Recent Emerson College polling (late March-early April) shows frontrunner Rep. Byron Donalds leading the Republican primary at 46% and topping general election matchups against Democrats like David Jolly (44%-39%) and Jerry Demings (45%-36%), bolstered by his Trump endorsement and record $22 million Q1 fundraising haul reported mid-April. While some surveys indicate tightening contests amid no-party-affiliate support, GOP dominance in recent cycles and the August 18 primaries reinforce the 73% implied probability, though Democratic turnout or nominee strength could shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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