The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement has drawn a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 featuring state Senator Mallory McMorrow, Representative Haley Stevens, and Abdul El-Sayed, while former Representative Mike Rogers holds a clear edge for the Republican nomination. Recent polling shows leading Democratic candidates competitive or ahead in hypothetical general-election matchups against Rogers, consistent with Michigan’s narrow partisan balance and Democratic performance in the prior Senate cycle. Major forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up, with trader consensus reflecting the state’s underlying lean and the quality of the Democratic field ahead of primary outcomes and fall campaigning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$116,016 거래량
$116,016 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
69%
공화당
30%
$116,016 거래량
$116,016 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$82,765 거래량
69%
공화당
$33,251 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement has drawn a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 featuring state Senator Mallory McMorrow, Representative Haley Stevens, and Abdul El-Sayed, while former Representative Mike Rogers holds a clear edge for the Republican nomination. Recent polling shows leading Democratic candidates competitive or ahead in hypothetical general-election matchups against Rogers, consistent with Michigan’s narrow partisan balance and Democratic performance in the prior Senate cycle. Major forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up, with trader consensus reflecting the state’s underlying lean and the quality of the Democratic field ahead of primary outcomes and fall campaigning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$116,016종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement has drawn a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 featuring state Senator Mallory McMorrow, Representative Haley Stevens, and Abdul El-Sayed, while former Representative Mike Rogers holds a clear edge for the Republican nomination. Recent polling shows leading Democratic candidates competitive or ahead in hypothetical general-election matchups against Rogers, consistent with Michigan’s narrow partisan balance and Democratic performance in the prior Senate cycle. Major forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up, with trader consensus reflecting the state’s underlying lean and the quality of the Democratic field ahead of primary outcomes and fall campaigning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$116,016종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement has drawn a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 featuring state Senator Mallory McMorrow, Representative Haley Stevens, and Abdul El-Sayed, while former Representative Mike Rogers holds a clear edge for the Republican nomination. Recent polling shows leading Democratic candidates competitive or ahead in hypothetical general-election matchups against Rogers, consistent with Michigan’s narrow partisan balance and Democratic performance in the prior Senate cycle. Major forecasters rate the November 3 contest a toss-up, with trader consensus reflecting the state’s underlying lean and the quality of the Democratic field ahead of primary outcomes and fall campaigning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문