Incumbent Sen. Gary Peters' retirement opened Michigan's Senate seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary where Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed are statistically tied at 22-23% per a Data for Progress poll conducted April 2-8 amid 33% undecideds. GOP frontrunner former Rep. Mike Rogers secured a $45 million Senate Leadership Fund infusion on April 6, yet traders price Democrats at 83% to prevail in the November 3 general, reflecting Michigan's battleground status but consistent Democratic Senate wins since 2000 and early polls showing top Dems competitive or leading Rogers. This diverges from polling averages indicating a toss-up; primaries on August 4 could clarify nominees.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$102,668 거래량
$102,668 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
83%
Republican
18%
$102,668 거래량
$102,668 거래량
2026.11.03
Democrat
$77,758 거래량
83%
Republican
$24,910 거래량
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Gary Peters' retirement opened Michigan's Senate seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary where Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed are statistically tied at 22-23% per a Data for Progress poll conducted April 2-8 amid 33% undecideds. GOP frontrunner former Rep. Mike Rogers secured a $45 million Senate Leadership Fund infusion on April 6, yet traders price Democrats at 83% to prevail in the November 3 general, reflecting Michigan's battleground status but consistent Democratic Senate wins since 2000 and early polls showing top Dems competitive or leading Rogers. This diverges from polling averages indicating a toss-up; primaries on August 4 could clarify nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$102,668종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Gary Peters' retirement opened Michigan's Senate seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary where Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed are statistically tied at 22-23% per a Data for Progress poll conducted April 2-8 amid 33% undecideds. GOP frontrunner former Rep. Mike Rogers secured a $45 million Senate Leadership Fund infusion on April 6, yet traders price Democrats at 83% to prevail in the November 3 general, reflecting Michigan's battleground status but consistent Democratic Senate wins since 2000 and early polls showing top Dems competitive or leading Rogers. This diverges from polling averages indicating a toss-up; primaries on August 4 could clarify nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$102,668종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Gary Peters' retirement opened Michigan's Senate seat, drawing a crowded Democratic primary where Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed are statistically tied at 22-23% per a Data for Progress poll conducted April 2-8 amid 33% undecideds. GOP frontrunner former Rep. Mike Rogers secured a $45 million Senate Leadership Fund infusion on April 6, yet traders price Democrats at 83% to prevail in the November 3 general, reflecting Michigan's battleground status but consistent Democratic Senate wins since 2000 and early polls showing top Dems competitive or leading Rogers. This diverges from polling averages indicating a toss-up; primaries on August 4 could clarify nominees.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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