The open Michigan Senate seat, following Gary Peters's retirement, positions Democrats as the market's 69% favorite due to the party's recent success holding the chamber in a state with underlying partisan balance and strong suburban support. A competitive August 4 Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow adds uncertainty, though recent polling shows El-Sayed with a narrow lead and the United Auto Workers endorsement on June 5 bolstering his profile. Republicans converge on Mike Rogers as nominee after his narrow 2024 loss, yet forecasters rate the November 3 general election a toss-up amid Michigan's narrow Trump 2024 victory and the absence of a GOP Senate win since 1994. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, candidate matchups, and turnout factors in a battleground environment still months from resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$116,016 거래량
$116,016 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
69%
공화당
30%
$116,016 거래량
$116,016 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$82,765 거래량
69%
공화당
$33,251 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, following Gary Peters's retirement, positions Democrats as the market's 69% favorite due to the party's recent success holding the chamber in a state with underlying partisan balance and strong suburban support. A competitive August 4 Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow adds uncertainty, though recent polling shows El-Sayed with a narrow lead and the United Auto Workers endorsement on June 5 bolstering his profile. Republicans converge on Mike Rogers as nominee after his narrow 2024 loss, yet forecasters rate the November 3 general election a toss-up amid Michigan's narrow Trump 2024 victory and the absence of a GOP Senate win since 1994. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, candidate matchups, and turnout factors in a battleground environment still months from resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$116,016종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, following Gary Peters's retirement, positions Democrats as the market's 69% favorite due to the party's recent success holding the chamber in a state with underlying partisan balance and strong suburban support. A competitive August 4 Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow adds uncertainty, though recent polling shows El-Sayed with a narrow lead and the United Auto Workers endorsement on June 5 bolstering his profile. Republicans converge on Mike Rogers as nominee after his narrow 2024 loss, yet forecasters rate the November 3 general election a toss-up amid Michigan's narrow Trump 2024 victory and the absence of a GOP Senate win since 1994. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, candidate matchups, and turnout factors in a battleground environment still months from resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$116,016종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Michigan Senate seat, following Gary Peters's retirement, positions Democrats as the market's 69% favorite due to the party's recent success holding the chamber in a state with underlying partisan balance and strong suburban support. A competitive August 4 Democratic primary among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow adds uncertainty, though recent polling shows El-Sayed with a narrow lead and the United Auto Workers endorsement on June 5 bolstering his profile. Republicans converge on Mike Rogers as nominee after his narrow 2024 loss, yet forecasters rate the November 3 general election a toss-up amid Michigan's narrow Trump 2024 victory and the absence of a GOP Senate win since 1994. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, candidate matchups, and turnout factors in a battleground environment still months from resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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