Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow, while Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination. Recent head-to-head polling shows Democratic candidates competitive or ahead of Rogers in general election matchups, reflecting the state's narrow presidential margin in 2024 and established Democratic advantages in Senate contests. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, yet trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a clear edge based on fundraising, endorsements including the recent UAW backing for El-Sayed, and historical patterns in similar open-seat cycles. The August primary outcome and subsequent general election dynamics through November remain key variables.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$116,016 거래량
$116,016 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
69%
공화당
30%
$116,016 거래량
$116,016 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$82,765 거래량
69%
공화당
$33,251 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow, while Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination. Recent head-to-head polling shows Democratic candidates competitive or ahead of Rogers in general election matchups, reflecting the state's narrow presidential margin in 2024 and established Democratic advantages in Senate contests. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, yet trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a clear edge based on fundraising, endorsements including the recent UAW backing for El-Sayed, and historical patterns in similar open-seat cycles. The August primary outcome and subsequent general election dynamics through November remain key variables.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$116,016종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow, while Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination. Recent head-to-head polling shows Democratic candidates competitive or ahead of Rogers in general election matchups, reflecting the state's narrow presidential margin in 2024 and established Democratic advantages in Senate contests. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, yet trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a clear edge based on fundraising, endorsements including the recent UAW backing for El-Sayed, and historical patterns in similar open-seat cycles. The August primary outcome and subsequent general election dynamics through November remain key variables.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$116,016종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 among Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow, while Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination. Recent head-to-head polling shows Democratic candidates competitive or ahead of Rogers in general election matchups, reflecting the state's narrow presidential margin in 2024 and established Democratic advantages in Senate contests. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, yet trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a clear edge based on fundraising, endorsements including the recent UAW backing for El-Sayed, and historical patterns in similar open-seat cycles. The August primary outcome and subsequent general election dynamics through November remain key variables.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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