The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats for the People's Party in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the 55 required for an absolute majority. Final results showed the PP at 41.6 percent of the vote, down from its 2022 performance, while the PSOE fell to 28 seats and Vox rose to 15. These outcomes ended months of pre-election polling that had projected a potential PP majority, leaving the party dependent on negotiations with Vox for government formation ahead of the parliament's reconvening. The results align with the current trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent implied probability against an absolute majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$27,608 거래량
$27,608 거래량
2026.05.17
예
$27,608 거래량
$27,608 거래량
2026.05.17
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats for the People's Party in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the 55 required for an absolute majority. Final results showed the PP at 41.6 percent of the vote, down from its 2022 performance, while the PSOE fell to 28 seats and Vox rose to 15. These outcomes ended months of pre-election polling that had projected a potential PP majority, leaving the party dependent on negotiations with Vox for government formation ahead of the parliament's reconvening. The results align with the current trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent implied probability against an absolute majority.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
거래량
$27,608종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats for the People's Party in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the 55 required for an absolute majority. Final results showed the PP at 41.6 percent of the vote, down from its 2022 performance, while the PSOE fell to 28 seats and Vox rose to 15. These outcomes ended months of pre-election polling that had projected a potential PP majority, leaving the party dependent on negotiations with Vox for government formation ahead of the parliament's reconvening. The results align with the current trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent implied probability against an absolute majority.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
거래량
$27,608종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats for the People's Party in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the 55 required for an absolute majority. Final results showed the PP at 41.6 percent of the vote, down from its 2022 performance, while the PSOE fell to 28 seats and Vox rose to 15. These outcomes ended months of pre-election polling that had projected a potential PP majority, leaving the party dependent on negotiations with Vox for government formation ahead of the parliament's reconvening. The results align with the current trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent implied probability against an absolute majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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