Michigan's 13th Congressional District, anchored in Detroit with a strong Democratic partisan lean, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a fundraising advantage despite a competitive August 4 Democratic primary challenge from state Rep. Donavan McKinney—recently active in local media—and former state Sen. Adam Hollier, fueled by progressive criticisms of his record. The Republican field remains undeveloped ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with no major contender emerging. Independent Maurice Morton adds a minor factor. Scenarios shifting odds include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, high-profile GOP recruitment, or anomalous midterm turnout swings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,723 거래량
$30,723 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$30,723 거래량
$30,723 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$19,113 거래량
93%
공화당
$11,610 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th Congressional District, anchored in Detroit with a strong Democratic partisan lean, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a fundraising advantage despite a competitive August 4 Democratic primary challenge from state Rep. Donavan McKinney—recently active in local media—and former state Sen. Adam Hollier, fueled by progressive criticisms of his record. The Republican field remains undeveloped ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with no major contender emerging. Independent Maurice Morton adds a minor factor. Scenarios shifting odds include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, high-profile GOP recruitment, or anomalous midterm turnout swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$30,723종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th Congressional District, anchored in Detroit with a strong Democratic partisan lean, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a fundraising advantage despite a competitive August 4 Democratic primary challenge from state Rep. Donavan McKinney—recently active in local media—and former state Sen. Adam Hollier, fueled by progressive criticisms of his record. The Republican field remains undeveloped ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with no major contender emerging. Independent Maurice Morton adds a minor factor. Scenarios shifting odds include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, high-profile GOP recruitment, or anomalous midterm turnout swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$30,723종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th Congressional District, anchored in Detroit with a strong Democratic partisan lean, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a fundraising advantage despite a competitive August 4 Democratic primary challenge from state Rep. Donavan McKinney—recently active in local media—and former state Sen. Adam Hollier, fueled by progressive criticisms of his record. The Republican field remains undeveloped ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, with no major contender emerging. Independent Maurice Morton adds a minor factor. Scenarios shifting odds include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee, high-profile GOP recruitment, or anomalous midterm turnout swings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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