Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 65.5% to hold TX-23, an open seat with a Cook PVI of R+7 along the Texas-Mexico border, pitting GOP nominee Brandon Herrera against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout following the March primaries. Incumbent Tony Gonzales's resignation on April 14—pressured by House Republican leadership amid his affair scandal—has heightened scrutiny but not shifted nominees, as Herrera effectively clinched the nomination after forcing Gonzales into a runoff. Early March polls, including a PPP survey showing Stout at 40%, indicated competitiveness, yet district fundamentals like border security priorities and GOP base enthusiasm sustain the Republican edge ahead of the November 3 general election, amid a slim national House majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,643 거래량
$14,643 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
66%
Democratic Party
32%
$14,643 거래량
$14,643 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$7,984 거래량
66%
Democratic Party
$6,659 거래량
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 65.5% to hold TX-23, an open seat with a Cook PVI of R+7 along the Texas-Mexico border, pitting GOP nominee Brandon Herrera against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout following the March primaries. Incumbent Tony Gonzales's resignation on April 14—pressured by House Republican leadership amid his affair scandal—has heightened scrutiny but not shifted nominees, as Herrera effectively clinched the nomination after forcing Gonzales into a runoff. Early March polls, including a PPP survey showing Stout at 40%, indicated competitiveness, yet district fundamentals like border security priorities and GOP base enthusiasm sustain the Republican edge ahead of the November 3 general election, amid a slim national House majority.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$14,643종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 65.5% to hold TX-23, an open seat with a Cook PVI of R+7 along the Texas-Mexico border, pitting GOP nominee Brandon Herrera against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout following the March primaries. Incumbent Tony Gonzales's resignation on April 14—pressured by House Republican leadership amid his affair scandal—has heightened scrutiny but not shifted nominees, as Herrera effectively clinched the nomination after forcing Gonzales into a runoff. Early March polls, including a PPP survey showing Stout at 40%, indicated competitiveness, yet district fundamentals like border security priorities and GOP base enthusiasm sustain the Republican edge ahead of the November 3 general election, amid a slim national House majority.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,643종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 65.5% to hold TX-23, an open seat with a Cook PVI of R+7 along the Texas-Mexico border, pitting GOP nominee Brandon Herrera against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout following the March primaries. Incumbent Tony Gonzales's resignation on April 14—pressured by House Republican leadership amid his affair scandal—has heightened scrutiny but not shifted nominees, as Herrera effectively clinched the nomination after forcing Gonzales into a runoff. Early March polls, including a PPP survey showing Stout at 40%, indicated competitiveness, yet district fundamentals like border security priorities and GOP base enthusiasm sustain the Republican edge ahead of the November 3 general election, amid a slim national House majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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