The pronounced Democratic tilt of New York's 13th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+32, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the party's repeated large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces primary challengers on June 23, while the Republican primary was canceled, signaling minimal opposition field. This structural advantage and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain the current pricing, though an unforeseen primary upset or late scandal could introduce limited uncertainty before the general.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$33,275 거래량
$33,275 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
5%
$33,275 거래량
$33,275 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$21,233 거래량
96%
공화당
$12,042 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic tilt of New York's 13th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+32, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the party's repeated large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces primary challengers on June 23, while the Republican primary was canceled, signaling minimal opposition field. This structural advantage and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain the current pricing, though an unforeseen primary upset or late scandal could introduce limited uncertainty before the general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$33,275종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic tilt of New York's 13th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+32, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the party's repeated large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces primary challengers on June 23, while the Republican primary was canceled, signaling minimal opposition field. This structural advantage and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain the current pricing, though an unforeseen primary upset or late scandal could introduce limited uncertainty before the general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$33,275종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The pronounced Democratic tilt of New York's 13th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index near D+32, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, consistent with the party's repeated large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces primary challengers on June 23, while the Republican primary was canceled, signaling minimal opposition field. This structural advantage and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain the current pricing, though an unforeseen primary upset or late scandal could introduce limited uncertainty before the general.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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