Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids holds a strong position in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her successive double-digit victories, including an 11-point margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the suburban Kansas City district’s consistent support for the incumbent and limited Republican investment in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 4, 2026, feature Davids facing a Democratic challenger alongside multiple Republican contenders, yet no developments have materially altered the structural advantages favoring Democratic retention. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and historical turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning but currently Democratic-held seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,685 거래량
$14,685 거래량
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
13%
$14,685 거래량
$14,685 거래량
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids holds a strong position in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her successive double-digit victories, including an 11-point margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Likely Democratic, citing the suburban Kansas City district’s consistent support for the incumbent and limited Republican investment in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 4, 2026, feature Davids facing a Democratic challenger alongside multiple Republican contenders, yet no developments have materially altered the structural advantages favoring Democratic retention. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these district fundamentals and historical turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning but currently Democratic-held seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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