Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids, who flipped Kansas’s 3rd District in 2018 and won reelection in 2024 by an 11-point margin, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest. The suburban Kansas City seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index, and nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid or Likely Democratic. Republican primary contenders have drawn modest fundraising and limited national support, consistent with the party’s decision to largely de-emphasize the district in the prior cycle. With filing closed June 1 and no major shifts in voter registration or polling aggregates reported since the 2024 results, traders price the Democratic nominee as a strong favorite for the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,525 거래량
$16,525 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
$16,525 거래량
$16,525 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$4,463 거래량
88%
Republican Party
$12,063 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids, who flipped Kansas’s 3rd District in 2018 and won reelection in 2024 by an 11-point margin, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest. The suburban Kansas City seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index, and nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid or Likely Democratic. Republican primary contenders have drawn modest fundraising and limited national support, consistent with the party’s decision to largely de-emphasize the district in the prior cycle. With filing closed June 1 and no major shifts in voter registration or polling aggregates reported since the 2024 results, traders price the Democratic nominee as a strong favorite for the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$16,525종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids, who flipped Kansas’s 3rd District in 2018 and won reelection in 2024 by an 11-point margin, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest. The suburban Kansas City seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index, and nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid or Likely Democratic. Republican primary contenders have drawn modest fundraising and limited national support, consistent with the party’s decision to largely de-emphasize the district in the prior cycle. With filing closed June 1 and no major shifts in voter registration or polling aggregates reported since the 2024 results, traders price the Democratic nominee as a strong favorite for the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,525종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids, who flipped Kansas’s 3rd District in 2018 and won reelection in 2024 by an 11-point margin, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest. The suburban Kansas City seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index, and nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid or Likely Democratic. Republican primary contenders have drawn modest fundraising and limited national support, consistent with the party’s decision to largely de-emphasize the district in the prior cycle. With filing closed June 1 and no major shifts in voter registration or polling aggregates reported since the 2024 results, traders price the Democratic nominee as a strong favorite for the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문