Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40—one of the nation's most Democratic seats—anchors trader consensus at 94% odds for a Democratic House winner, reflecting historical blowout margins like Biden's 90% share in 2020. Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement has sparked a competitive open-seat Democratic primary on May 19, where recent polls show state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford leading amid a narrowing field of six candidates, bolstered by strong party endorsements and fundraising. Minimal Republican challengers, such as Alex Schnell, pose no viable threat in this Philadelphia bastion. While commanding, odds could shift via post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or a national Republican midterm wave, though precedents favor the nominee's path to victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,918 거래량
$12,918 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,918 거래량
$12,918 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,381 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$5,538 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40—one of the nation's most Democratic seats—anchors trader consensus at 94% odds for a Democratic House winner, reflecting historical blowout margins like Biden's 90% share in 2020. Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement has sparked a competitive open-seat Democratic primary on May 19, where recent polls show state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford leading amid a narrowing field of six candidates, bolstered by strong party endorsements and fundraising. Minimal Republican challengers, such as Alex Schnell, pose no viable threat in this Philadelphia bastion. While commanding, odds could shift via post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or a national Republican midterm wave, though precedents favor the nominee's path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$12,918종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40—one of the nation's most Democratic seats—anchors trader consensus at 94% odds for a Democratic House winner, reflecting historical blowout margins like Biden's 90% share in 2020. Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement has sparked a competitive open-seat Democratic primary on May 19, where recent polls show state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford leading amid a narrowing field of six candidates, bolstered by strong party endorsements and fundraising. Minimal Republican challengers, such as Alex Schnell, pose no viable threat in this Philadelphia bastion. While commanding, odds could shift via post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or a national Republican midterm wave, though precedents favor the nominee's path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,918종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40—one of the nation's most Democratic seats—anchors trader consensus at 94% odds for a Democratic House winner, reflecting historical blowout margins like Biden's 90% share in 2020. Rep. Dwight Evans' retirement has sparked a competitive open-seat Democratic primary on May 19, where recent polls show state Sen. Sharif Street and Dr. Ala Stanford leading amid a narrowing field of six candidates, bolstered by strong party endorsements and fundraising. Minimal Republican challengers, such as Alex Schnell, pose no viable threat in this Philadelphia bastion. While commanding, odds could shift via post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee weakness, or a national Republican midterm wave, though precedents favor the nominee's path to victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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