Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 68.5% to retain Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in a historically GOP-leaning district spanning West Michigan counties like Ottawa, Allegan, and Van Buren. A December 2025 poll showed Huizenga holding a narrow 44%-42% edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, amid Democratic efforts to flip the seat through DCCC targeting and Red to Blue program inclusion. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—outraising Huizenga by $400,000—has boosted Democratic odds to 31.5%, signaling growing competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, though incumbency and base rates sustain Republican leadership.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
67%
Democratic Party
32%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$164 거래량
67%
Democratic Party
$350 거래량
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 68.5% to retain Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in a historically GOP-leaning district spanning West Michigan counties like Ottawa, Allegan, and Van Buren. A December 2025 poll showed Huizenga holding a narrow 44%-42% edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, amid Democratic efforts to flip the seat through DCCC targeting and Red to Blue program inclusion. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—outraising Huizenga by $400,000—has boosted Democratic odds to 31.5%, signaling growing competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, though incumbency and base rates sustain Republican leadership.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$514종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 68.5% to retain Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in a historically GOP-leaning district spanning West Michigan counties like Ottawa, Allegan, and Van Buren. A December 2025 poll showed Huizenga holding a narrow 44%-42% edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, amid Democratic efforts to flip the seat through DCCC targeting and Red to Blue program inclusion. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—outraising Huizenga by $400,000—has boosted Democratic odds to 31.5%, signaling growing competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, though incumbency and base rates sustain Republican leadership.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$514종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 68.5% to retain Michigan's 4th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Bill Huizenga's reelection bid in a historically GOP-leaning district spanning West Michigan counties like Ottawa, Allegan, and Van Buren. A December 2025 poll showed Huizenga holding a narrow 44%-42% edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, amid Democratic efforts to flip the seat through DCCC targeting and Red to Blue program inclusion. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—outraising Huizenga by $400,000—has boosted Democratic odds to 31.5%, signaling growing competitiveness ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election, though incumbency and base rates sustain Republican leadership.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문