The 2026 contest for Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district pits Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick against Democratic nominee Bob Harvie, the Bucks County commissioner who secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1 and Fitzpatrick’s 2024 margin of roughly six points have produced closely contested trader pricing, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest edge in current markets. Limited polling shows mixed results, while Fitzpatrick’s moderate record and lack of primary opposition continue to anchor Republican support. No major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race sensitive to national midterm conditions and turnout in Bucks County.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
36%
Democratic Party
56%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$1,156 거래량
36%
Democratic Party
$795 거래량
56%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2026 contest for Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district pits Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick against Democratic nominee Bob Harvie, the Bucks County commissioner who secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1 and Fitzpatrick’s 2024 margin of roughly six points have produced closely contested trader pricing, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest edge in current markets. Limited polling shows mixed results, while Fitzpatrick’s moderate record and lack of primary opposition continue to anchor Republican support. No major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race sensitive to national midterm conditions and turnout in Bucks County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
거래량
$1,951종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2026 contest for Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district pits Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick against Democratic nominee Bob Harvie, the Bucks County commissioner who secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1 and Fitzpatrick’s 2024 margin of roughly six points have produced closely contested trader pricing, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest edge in current markets. Limited polling shows mixed results, while Fitzpatrick’s moderate record and lack of primary opposition continue to anchor Republican support. No major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race sensitive to national midterm conditions and turnout in Bucks County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,951종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 contest for Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district pits Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick against Democratic nominee Bob Harvie, the Bucks County commissioner who secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary. The district’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+1 and Fitzpatrick’s 2024 margin of roughly six points have produced closely contested trader pricing, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest edge in current markets. Limited polling shows mixed results, while Fitzpatrick’s moderate record and lack of primary opposition continue to anchor Republican support. No major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries, leaving the race sensitive to national midterm conditions and turnout in Bucks County.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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