Republican Matt Van Epps, who won the December 2025 special election to replace retiring Rep. Mark Green, holds the seat heading into the 2026 cycle. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+11 and Donald Trump’s 22-point 2024 margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Tennessee Republicans’ May 2026 congressional map redraw preserved the district’s core while multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Vincent Dixie and Darden Copeland, prepare for an August 6 contest against Van Epps. No major polling shifts or national developments have altered the seat’s fundamentals in recent months, leaving the implied probability aligned with the district’s consistent electoral history and structural advantages for the incumbent party.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
14%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,608 거래량
84%
Democratic Party
$1,190 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Matt Van Epps, who won the December 2025 special election to replace retiring Rep. Mark Green, holds the seat heading into the 2026 cycle. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+11 and Donald Trump’s 22-point 2024 margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Tennessee Republicans’ May 2026 congressional map redraw preserved the district’s core while multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Vincent Dixie and Darden Copeland, prepare for an August 6 contest against Van Epps. No major polling shifts or national developments have altered the seat’s fundamentals in recent months, leaving the implied probability aligned with the district’s consistent electoral history and structural advantages for the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$3,798종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Matt Van Epps, who won the December 2025 special election to replace retiring Rep. Mark Green, holds the seat heading into the 2026 cycle. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+11 and Donald Trump’s 22-point 2024 margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Tennessee Republicans’ May 2026 congressional map redraw preserved the district’s core while multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Vincent Dixie and Darden Copeland, prepare for an August 6 contest against Van Epps. No major polling shifts or national developments have altered the seat’s fundamentals in recent months, leaving the implied probability aligned with the district’s consistent electoral history and structural advantages for the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,798종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Matt Van Epps, who won the December 2025 special election to replace retiring Rep. Mark Green, holds the seat heading into the 2026 cycle. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+11 and Donald Trump’s 22-point 2024 margin, underpins the strong Republican positioning. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Tennessee Republicans’ May 2026 congressional map redraw preserved the district’s core while multiple Democratic primary candidates, including Vincent Dixie and Darden Copeland, prepare for an August 6 contest against Van Epps. No major polling shifts or national developments have altered the seat’s fundamentals in recent months, leaving the implied probability aligned with the district’s consistent electoral history and structural advantages for the incumbent party.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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