Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win reelection in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating by Cook Political Report and strong GOP performance, including Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 victory there. Van Epps' narrow win in the December 2025 special election—despite Democratic overperformance amid low special turnout—bolsters incumbency advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, where higher turnout typically favors the Republican base. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since candidate qualifying closed in March, with August 6 primaries set to select nominees from early fields including Democrat Joshua Sales. Democrats trail at 10.5%, underscoring their uphill path in this reliably red district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,244 거래량
89%
Democratic Party
$1,058 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win reelection in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating by Cook Political Report and strong GOP performance, including Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 victory there. Van Epps' narrow win in the December 2025 special election—despite Democratic overperformance amid low special turnout—bolsters incumbency advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, where higher turnout typically favors the Republican base. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since candidate qualifying closed in March, with August 6 primaries set to select nominees from early fields including Democrat Joshua Sales. Democrats trail at 10.5%, underscoring their uphill path in this reliably red district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$3,302종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win reelection in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating by Cook Political Report and strong GOP performance, including Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 victory there. Van Epps' narrow win in the December 2025 special election—despite Democratic overperformance amid low special turnout—bolsters incumbency advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, where higher turnout typically favors the Republican base. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since candidate qualifying closed in March, with August 6 primaries set to select nominees from early fields including Democrat Joshua Sales. Democrats trail at 10.5%, underscoring their uphill path in this reliably red district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,302종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Matt Van Epps holds a commanding trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win reelection in Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating by Cook Political Report and strong GOP performance, including Donald Trump's 22-point 2024 victory there. Van Epps' narrow win in the December 2025 special election—despite Democratic overperformance amid low special turnout—bolsters incumbency advantage heading into the November 2026 general election, where higher turnout typically favors the Republican base. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days since candidate qualifying closed in March, with August 6 primaries set to select nominees from early fields including Democrat Joshua Sales. Democrats trail at 10.5%, underscoring their uphill path in this reliably red district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문