Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% in the Massachusetts 5th congressional district House race, driven by the district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's most Democratic seats—and incumbent Katherine Clark's dominant record, including a 98.2% 2024 general election win against write-ins with no Republican opponent. As House Minority Whip, Clark faces only minor Democratic primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary, while no GOP candidates have declared by April filing deadlines. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. Upsets could stem from a primary loss for Clark, her unexpected retirement, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national GOP wave, though these remain low-probability barriers in this safe seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,879 거래량
$15,879 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$15,879 거래량
$15,879 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$14,581 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$1,298 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% in the Massachusetts 5th congressional district House race, driven by the district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's most Democratic seats—and incumbent Katherine Clark's dominant record, including a 98.2% 2024 general election win against write-ins with no Republican opponent. As House Minority Whip, Clark faces only minor Democratic primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary, while no GOP candidates have declared by April filing deadlines. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. Upsets could stem from a primary loss for Clark, her unexpected retirement, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national GOP wave, though these remain low-probability barriers in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$15,879종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% in the Massachusetts 5th congressional district House race, driven by the district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's most Democratic seats—and incumbent Katherine Clark's dominant record, including a 98.2% 2024 general election win against write-ins with no Republican opponent. As House Minority Whip, Clark faces only minor Democratic primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary, while no GOP candidates have declared by April filing deadlines. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. Upsets could stem from a primary loss for Clark, her unexpected retirement, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national GOP wave, though these remain low-probability barriers in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,879종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% in the Massachusetts 5th congressional district House race, driven by the district's D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's most Democratic seats—and incumbent Katherine Clark's dominant record, including a 98.2% 2024 general election win against write-ins with no Republican opponent. As House Minority Whip, Clark faces only minor Democratic primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary, while no GOP candidates have declared by April filing deadlines. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. Upsets could stem from a primary loss for Clark, her unexpected retirement, a high-profile Republican recruit, or a national GOP wave, though these remain low-probability barriers in this safe seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문