The Massachusetts 5th congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results exceeding 98 percent for the incumbent, drives the market’s 93.7 percent consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Katherine Clark, serving as House Minority Whip and first elected in 2013, faces two primary challengers ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary but enters the November 3 general election with minimal Republican opposition expected. Recent polling aggregates and race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle national wave altering turnout patterns, though structural barriers in this safely Democratic district limit such possibilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,823 거래량
$26,823 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
20%
$26,823 거래량
$26,823 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,781 거래량
94%
공화당
$9,043 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 5th congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results exceeding 98 percent for the incumbent, drives the market’s 93.7 percent consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Katherine Clark, serving as House Minority Whip and first elected in 2013, faces two primary challengers ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary but enters the November 3 general election with minimal Republican opposition expected. Recent polling aggregates and race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle national wave altering turnout patterns, though structural barriers in this safely Democratic district limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$26,823종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 5th congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results exceeding 98 percent for the incumbent, drives the market’s 93.7 percent consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Katherine Clark, serving as House Minority Whip and first elected in 2013, faces two primary challengers ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary but enters the November 3 general election with minimal Republican opposition expected. Recent polling aggregates and race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle national wave altering turnout patterns, though structural barriers in this safely Democratic district limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,823종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 5th congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results exceeding 98 percent for the incumbent, drives the market’s 93.7 percent consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Katherine Clark, serving as House Minority Whip and first elected in 2013, faces two primary challengers ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary but enters the November 3 general election with minimal Republican opposition expected. Recent polling aggregates and race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds include an unexpected primary upset or late-cycle national wave altering turnout patterns, though structural barriers in this safely Democratic district limit such possibilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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