Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's dominant position in Florida's 17th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 86%. Steube, who secured 63.9% in 2024 amid Trump's 62% district win, faces no Republican primary challengers and boasts $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary filers Matthew Montavon ($40,000) and Allen Spence ($11,000). Absent a high-profile Democratic recruit before the June 12 filing deadline or unforeseen GOP scandal, the race aligns with historical patterns of large Republican margins in this Gulf Coast battleground. Primaries on August 18 could clarify the matchup ahead of November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,947 거래량
86%
Democratic Party
$1,916 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's dominant position in Florida's 17th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 86%. Steube, who secured 63.9% in 2024 amid Trump's 62% district win, faces no Republican primary challengers and boasts $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary filers Matthew Montavon ($40,000) and Allen Spence ($11,000). Absent a high-profile Democratic recruit before the June 12 filing deadline or unforeseen GOP scandal, the race aligns with historical patterns of large Republican margins in this Gulf Coast battleground. Primaries on August 18 could clarify the matchup ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$4,863종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's dominant position in Florida's 17th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 86%. Steube, who secured 63.9% in 2024 amid Trump's 62% district win, faces no Republican primary challengers and boasts $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary filers Matthew Montavon ($40,000) and Allen Spence ($11,000). Absent a high-profile Democratic recruit before the June 12 filing deadline or unforeseen GOP scandal, the race aligns with historical patterns of large Republican margins in this Gulf Coast battleground. Primaries on August 18 could clarify the matchup ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,863종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's dominant position in Florida's 17th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 86%. Steube, who secured 63.9% in 2024 amid Trump's 62% district win, faces no Republican primary challengers and boasts $2 million cash-on-hand as of late March, dwarfing Democratic primary filers Matthew Montavon ($40,000) and Allen Spence ($11,000). Absent a high-profile Democratic recruit before the June 12 filing deadline or unforeseen GOP scandal, the race aligns with historical patterns of large Republican margins in this Gulf Coast battleground. Primaries on August 18 could clarify the matchup ahead of November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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