Massachusetts's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting and contributing to its Solid Democratic rating from major forecasters. Incumbent Jake Auchincloss, first elected in 2020, enters the 2026 cycle with prior general election margins exceeding 97 percent and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest. Republican primary activity remains minimal, consistent with the party's lack of success in the district for decades. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent major national realignment or an unexpected primary upset. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though a sustained national swing or unforeseen primary dynamics could still narrow the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$40,245 거래량
$40,245 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
3%
$40,245 거래량
$40,245 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$20,242 거래량
94%
공화당
$20,004 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting and contributing to its Solid Democratic rating from major forecasters. Incumbent Jake Auchincloss, first elected in 2020, enters the 2026 cycle with prior general election margins exceeding 97 percent and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest. Republican primary activity remains minimal, consistent with the party's lack of success in the district for decades. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent major national realignment or an unexpected primary upset. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though a sustained national swing or unforeseen primary dynamics could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$40,245종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting and contributing to its Solid Democratic rating from major forecasters. Incumbent Jake Auchincloss, first elected in 2020, enters the 2026 cycle with prior general election margins exceeding 97 percent and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest. Republican primary activity remains minimal, consistent with the party's lack of success in the district for decades. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent major national realignment or an unexpected primary upset. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though a sustained national swing or unforeseen primary dynamics could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$40,245종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 4th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting and contributing to its Solid Democratic rating from major forecasters. Incumbent Jake Auchincloss, first elected in 2020, enters the 2026 cycle with prior general election margins exceeding 97 percent and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the September 1 contest. Republican primary activity remains minimal, consistent with the party's lack of success in the district for decades. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent major national realignment or an unexpected primary upset. Trader consensus pricing aligns with these structural factors, though a sustained national swing or unforeseen primary dynamics could still narrow the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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