Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III seeks re-election in Alaska’s at-large House district after narrowly defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024 under ranked-choice voting. The state’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump’s double-digit margin in the prior presidential contest, combined with Begich’s incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Peltola’s decision to pursue the Senate instead of another House bid has left a thinner Democratic field ahead of the August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary. With filing closed June 1 and Cook Political Report rating the seat Likely Republican, limited opposition and structural advantages sustain the current implied probabilities entering the general election on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
20%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,621 거래량
79%
Democratic Party
$5,218 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III seeks re-election in Alaska’s at-large House district after narrowly defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024 under ranked-choice voting. The state’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump’s double-digit margin in the prior presidential contest, combined with Begich’s incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Peltola’s decision to pursue the Senate instead of another House bid has left a thinner Democratic field ahead of the August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary. With filing closed June 1 and Cook Political Report rating the seat Likely Republican, limited opposition and structural advantages sustain the current implied probabilities entering the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
거래량
$8,840종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III seeks re-election in Alaska’s at-large House district after narrowly defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024 under ranked-choice voting. The state’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump’s double-digit margin in the prior presidential contest, combined with Begich’s incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Peltola’s decision to pursue the Senate instead of another House bid has left a thinner Democratic field ahead of the August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary. With filing closed June 1 and Cook Political Report rating the seat Likely Republican, limited opposition and structural advantages sustain the current implied probabilities entering the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,840종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III seeks re-election in Alaska’s at-large House district after narrowly defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024 under ranked-choice voting. The state’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by Donald Trump’s double-digit margin in the prior presidential contest, combined with Begich’s incumbency and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Peltola’s decision to pursue the Senate instead of another House bid has left a thinner Democratic field ahead of the August 18 top-four nonpartisan primary. With filing closed June 1 and Cook Political Report rating the seat Likely Republican, limited opposition and structural advantages sustain the current implied probabilities entering the general election on November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문