Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a commanding position in Alaska's at-large congressional district race, buoyed by his narrow 2024 victory over Mary Peltola and early 2026 polling leads of up to 25 points over Democratic challengers like Matt Schultz and Bill Hill. Trader consensus at 71.5% for Republicans stems from Begich's fundraising edge—millions in cash on hand as of February—and the state's R+6 partisan lean, compounded by Peltola's January shift to the competitive U.S. Senate contest against Dan Sullivan, leaving Democrats without a proven statewide name. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice general election introduce uncertainty for the November 3 contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
26%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,483 거래량
72%
Democratic Party
$1,792 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a commanding position in Alaska's at-large congressional district race, buoyed by his narrow 2024 victory over Mary Peltola and early 2026 polling leads of up to 25 points over Democratic challengers like Matt Schultz and Bill Hill. Trader consensus at 71.5% for Republicans stems from Begich's fundraising edge—millions in cash on hand as of February—and the state's R+6 partisan lean, compounded by Peltola's January shift to the competitive U.S. Senate contest against Dan Sullivan, leaving Democrats without a proven statewide name. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice general election introduce uncertainty for the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
거래량
$3,275종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a commanding position in Alaska's at-large congressional district race, buoyed by his narrow 2024 victory over Mary Peltola and early 2026 polling leads of up to 25 points over Democratic challengers like Matt Schultz and Bill Hill. Trader consensus at 71.5% for Republicans stems from Begich's fundraising edge—millions in cash on hand as of February—and the state's R+6 partisan lean, compounded by Peltola's January shift to the competitive U.S. Senate contest against Dan Sullivan, leaving Democrats without a proven statewide name. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice general election introduce uncertainty for the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,275종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a commanding position in Alaska's at-large congressional district race, buoyed by his narrow 2024 victory over Mary Peltola and early 2026 polling leads of up to 25 points over Democratic challengers like Matt Schultz and Bill Hill. Trader consensus at 71.5% for Republicans stems from Begich's fundraising edge—millions in cash on hand as of February—and the state's R+6 partisan lean, compounded by Peltola's January shift to the competitive U.S. Senate contest against Dan Sullivan, leaving Democrats without a proven statewide name. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and subsequent ranked-choice general election introduce uncertainty for the November 3 contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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