The commanding Democratic trader consensus at 91.5% in California's 1st Congressional District House race stems from redistricting that shifted the new boundaries to a D+7 partisan lean, incorporating Democratic-leaning areas where Kamala Harris led by an estimated 12 points, transforming the formerly Republican stronghold after Rep. Doug LaMalfa's January death created an open seat. State Senate leader Mike McGuire leads early polling over Assembly GOP leader James Gallagher and former candidate Audrey Denney ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with strong Democratic fundraising and endorsements bolstering the edge. While improbable, a Republican primary surge, Democratic scandal, or national GOP midterm wave could challenge this positioning before the November general.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,023 거래량
$22,023 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
92%
공화당
5%
$22,023 거래량
$22,023 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,151 거래량
92%
공화당
$7,873 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding Democratic trader consensus at 91.5% in California's 1st Congressional District House race stems from redistricting that shifted the new boundaries to a D+7 partisan lean, incorporating Democratic-leaning areas where Kamala Harris led by an estimated 12 points, transforming the formerly Republican stronghold after Rep. Doug LaMalfa's January death created an open seat. State Senate leader Mike McGuire leads early polling over Assembly GOP leader James Gallagher and former candidate Audrey Denney ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with strong Democratic fundraising and endorsements bolstering the edge. While improbable, a Republican primary surge, Democratic scandal, or national GOP midterm wave could challenge this positioning before the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$22,023종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding Democratic trader consensus at 91.5% in California's 1st Congressional District House race stems from redistricting that shifted the new boundaries to a D+7 partisan lean, incorporating Democratic-leaning areas where Kamala Harris led by an estimated 12 points, transforming the formerly Republican stronghold after Rep. Doug LaMalfa's January death created an open seat. State Senate leader Mike McGuire leads early polling over Assembly GOP leader James Gallagher and former candidate Audrey Denney ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with strong Democratic fundraising and endorsements bolstering the edge. While improbable, a Republican primary surge, Democratic scandal, or national GOP midterm wave could challenge this positioning before the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,023종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding Democratic trader consensus at 91.5% in California's 1st Congressional District House race stems from redistricting that shifted the new boundaries to a D+7 partisan lean, incorporating Democratic-leaning areas where Kamala Harris led by an estimated 12 points, transforming the formerly Republican stronghold after Rep. Doug LaMalfa's January death created an open seat. State Senate leader Mike McGuire leads early polling over Assembly GOP leader James Gallagher and former candidate Audrey Denney ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, with strong Democratic fundraising and endorsements bolstering the edge. While improbable, a Republican primary surge, Democratic scandal, or national GOP midterm wave could challenge this positioning before the November general.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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