Incumbent Republican Stephanie Bice faces no primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge in Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+9 following post-2020 redistricting. The Democratic primary on June 16 pits Jena Nelson against Trey Martin, yet both candidates confront structural barriers in a district where Republicans have won by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and limited competitive history, while the Democratic Party sits at 12.5%. The November 3 general election remains months away, with no major developments yet altering the baseline outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,215 거래량
$10,215 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
13%
$10,215 거래량
$10,215 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$6,977 거래량
83%
Democratic Party
$3,238 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Stephanie Bice faces no primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge in Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+9 following post-2020 redistricting. The Democratic primary on June 16 pits Jena Nelson against Trey Martin, yet both candidates confront structural barriers in a district where Republicans have won by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and limited competitive history, while the Democratic Party sits at 12.5%. The November 3 general election remains months away, with no major developments yet altering the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$10,215종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Stephanie Bice faces no primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge in Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+9 following post-2020 redistricting. The Democratic primary on June 16 pits Jena Nelson against Trey Martin, yet both candidates confront structural barriers in a district where Republicans have won by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and limited competitive history, while the Democratic Party sits at 12.5%. The November 3 general election remains months away, with no major developments yet altering the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,215종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Stephanie Bice faces no primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge in Oklahoma’s 5th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+9 following post-2020 redistricting. The Democratic primary on June 16 pits Jena Nelson against Trey Martin, yet both candidates confront structural barriers in a district where Republicans have won by wide margins in recent cycles. Traders assign the Republican Party an 83% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and limited competitive history, while the Democratic Party sits at 12.5%. The November 3 general election remains months away, with no major developments yet altering the baseline outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문