Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice runs unopposed in Oklahoma's 5th District Republican primary on June 16, bolstering trader consensus at 87% for a GOP general election victory on November 3 in this Solid Republican seat (Cook PVI R+9). Bice's March 13 announcement to seek reelection rather than the open U.S. Senate race, coupled with her $1.6 million cash on hand, has solidified her position following the April 3 filing deadline. Democrats Trey Martin and Jena Nelson vie in their primary, while independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves have filed, but Bice's consistent 52-61% past margins and district history reflect low upset risk despite 2018's Democratic flip.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Stephanie Bice runs unopposed in Oklahoma's 5th District Republican primary on June 16, bolstering trader consensus at 87% for a GOP general election victory on November 3 in this Solid Republican seat (Cook PVI R+9). Bice's March 13 announcement to seek reelection rather than the open U.S. Senate race, coupled with her $1.6 million cash on hand, has solidified her position following the April 3 filing deadline. Democrats Trey Martin and Jena Nelson vie in their primary, while independents Robert Henri and Austin Nieves have filed, but Bice's consistent 52-61% past margins and district history reflect low upset risk despite 2018's Democratic flip.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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