Florida's 24th congressional district rates as one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 to D+22 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the seat to a Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Shevrin Jones and other candidates, while Republicans field a low-profile primary challenger in Patricia Gonzalez. Recent redistricting preserved the district's heavy Democratic tilt despite a statewide map shift favoring Republicans elsewhere. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability due to historical voting patterns, limited GOP infrastructure, and the absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election. Late developments such as a divisive primary outcome, unexpected turnout shifts, or successful legal challenges to the map could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 2026 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,749 거래량
$19,749 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
3%
$19,749 거래량
$19,749 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$8,452 거래량
95%
공화당
$11,297 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district rates as one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 to D+22 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the seat to a Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Shevrin Jones and other candidates, while Republicans field a low-profile primary challenger in Patricia Gonzalez. Recent redistricting preserved the district's heavy Democratic tilt despite a statewide map shift favoring Republicans elsewhere. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability due to historical voting patterns, limited GOP infrastructure, and the absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election. Late developments such as a divisive primary outcome, unexpected turnout shifts, or successful legal challenges to the map could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 2026 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$19,749종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district rates as one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 to D+22 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the seat to a Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Shevrin Jones and other candidates, while Republicans field a low-profile primary challenger in Patricia Gonzalez. Recent redistricting preserved the district's heavy Democratic tilt despite a statewide map shift favoring Republicans elsewhere. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability due to historical voting patterns, limited GOP infrastructure, and the absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election. Late developments such as a divisive primary outcome, unexpected turnout shifts, or successful legal challenges to the map could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 2026 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,749종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district rates as one of the state's most Democratic-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 to D+22 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the seat to a Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Shevrin Jones and other candidates, while Republicans field a low-profile primary challenger in Patricia Gonzalez. Recent redistricting preserved the district's heavy Democratic tilt despite a statewide map shift favoring Republicans elsewhere. Traders assign the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability due to historical voting patterns, limited GOP infrastructure, and the absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election. Late developments such as a divisive primary outcome, unexpected turnout shifts, or successful legal challenges to the map could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 2026 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문