Rev. Frederick Haynes III, senior pastor of a prominent 13,000-member Dallas church, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary for the open TX-30 seat vacated by Jasmine Crockett's unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for Democratic Party victory in this solidly Democratic district covering southern Dallas. The district's heavy Democratic lean, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and decades of Democratic control, underpins the commanding odds despite the open seat, with no public polling showing competitiveness. Republicans head to a May 26 primary runoff between low-profile candidates Everett Jackson and Sholdon Daniels amid minimal fundraising or visibility. While unlikely, a major scandal involving Haynes, unprecedented national Republican wave flipping deep-blue seats, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$1,525 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$2,092 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rev. Frederick Haynes III, senior pastor of a prominent 13,000-member Dallas church, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary for the open TX-30 seat vacated by Jasmine Crockett's unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for Democratic Party victory in this solidly Democratic district covering southern Dallas. The district's heavy Democratic lean, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and decades of Democratic control, underpins the commanding odds despite the open seat, with no public polling showing competitiveness. Republicans head to a May 26 primary runoff between low-profile candidates Everett Jackson and Sholdon Daniels amid minimal fundraising or visibility. While unlikely, a major scandal involving Haynes, unprecedented national Republican wave flipping deep-blue seats, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$3,617종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rev. Frederick Haynes III, senior pastor of a prominent 13,000-member Dallas church, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary for the open TX-30 seat vacated by Jasmine Crockett's unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for Democratic Party victory in this solidly Democratic district covering southern Dallas. The district's heavy Democratic lean, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and decades of Democratic control, underpins the commanding odds despite the open seat, with no public polling showing competitiveness. Republicans head to a May 26 primary runoff between low-profile candidates Everett Jackson and Sholdon Daniels amid minimal fundraising or visibility. While unlikely, a major scandal involving Haynes, unprecedented national Republican wave flipping deep-blue seats, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,617종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rev. Frederick Haynes III, senior pastor of a prominent 13,000-member Dallas church, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary for the open TX-30 seat vacated by Jasmine Crockett's unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, solidifying trader consensus at 91.5% for Democratic Party victory in this solidly Democratic district covering southern Dallas. The district's heavy Democratic lean, reflected in its strong partisan voting index and decades of Democratic control, underpins the commanding odds despite the open seat, with no public polling showing competitiveness. Republicans head to a May 26 primary runoff between low-profile candidates Everett Jackson and Sholdon Daniels amid minimal fundraising or visibility. While unlikely, a major scandal involving Haynes, unprecedented national Republican wave flipping deep-blue seats, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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