Incumbent Republican Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's reelection bid in the solidly Republican WI-05 district, rated safe by forecasters like Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 85% for a GOP win, reflecting the district's R+13 Cook PVI and his decisive 2024 victory over Democrat Ben Steinhoff. Democratic primary contenders Andrew Beck and Ben Steinhoff vie for their party's nomination on August 11, but early-stage fundraising lags and no public polls indicate competitiveness amid national midterm dynamics. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or a Democratic wave, the skin-in-the-game crowd prices in structural incumbency advantages and historical patterns in safe seats, with resolution on general election night November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
13%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$6,808 거래량
85%
Democratic Party
$3,137 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's reelection bid in the solidly Republican WI-05 district, rated safe by forecasters like Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 85% for a GOP win, reflecting the district's R+13 Cook PVI and his decisive 2024 victory over Democrat Ben Steinhoff. Democratic primary contenders Andrew Beck and Ben Steinhoff vie for their party's nomination on August 11, but early-stage fundraising lags and no public polls indicate competitiveness amid national midterm dynamics. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or a Democratic wave, the skin-in-the-game crowd prices in structural incumbency advantages and historical patterns in safe seats, with resolution on general election night November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$9,945종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's reelection bid in the solidly Republican WI-05 district, rated safe by forecasters like Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 85% for a GOP win, reflecting the district's R+13 Cook PVI and his decisive 2024 victory over Democrat Ben Steinhoff. Democratic primary contenders Andrew Beck and Ben Steinhoff vie for their party's nomination on August 11, but early-stage fundraising lags and no public polls indicate competitiveness amid national midterm dynamics. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or a Democratic wave, the skin-in-the-game crowd prices in structural incumbency advantages and historical patterns in safe seats, with resolution on general election night November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,945종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's reelection bid in the solidly Republican WI-05 district, rated safe by forecasters like Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 85% for a GOP win, reflecting the district's R+13 Cook PVI and his decisive 2024 victory over Democrat Ben Steinhoff. Democratic primary contenders Andrew Beck and Ben Steinhoff vie for their party's nomination on August 11, but early-stage fundraising lags and no public polls indicate competitiveness amid national midterm dynamics. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or a Democratic wave, the skin-in-the-game crowd prices in structural incumbency advantages and historical patterns in safe seats, with resolution on general election night November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문