Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district, reflected in the market’s 90.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district, centered in Burlington County with portions of Mercer and Monmouth counties, supported Conaway’s 2024 victory by a modest margin and carries a partisan lean favoring Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Conaway faced no primary opposition after the June 2 contest, while Republicans have yet to coalesce behind a high-profile challenger capable of narrowing the gap. Traders price in the typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party and the structural advantages of incumbency, including fundraising, name recognition, and established constituent services. A late scandal, unexpected retirement, or dramatic national realignment could still reopen the race, but no such developments have materialized.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$771 거래량
91%
Republican Party
$1,362 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district, reflected in the market’s 90.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district, centered in Burlington County with portions of Mercer and Monmouth counties, supported Conaway’s 2024 victory by a modest margin and carries a partisan lean favoring Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Conaway faced no primary opposition after the June 2 contest, while Republicans have yet to coalesce behind a high-profile challenger capable of narrowing the gap. Traders price in the typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party and the structural advantages of incumbency, including fundraising, name recognition, and established constituent services. A late scandal, unexpected retirement, or dramatic national realignment could still reopen the race, but no such developments have materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$2,133종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district, reflected in the market’s 90.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district, centered in Burlington County with portions of Mercer and Monmouth counties, supported Conaway’s 2024 victory by a modest margin and carries a partisan lean favoring Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Conaway faced no primary opposition after the June 2 contest, while Republicans have yet to coalesce behind a high-profile challenger capable of narrowing the gap. Traders price in the typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party and the structural advantages of incumbency, including fundraising, name recognition, and established constituent services. A late scandal, unexpected retirement, or dramatic national realignment could still reopen the race, but no such developments have materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,133종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district, reflected in the market’s 90.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. The district, centered in Burlington County with portions of Mercer and Monmouth counties, supported Conaway’s 2024 victory by a modest margin and carries a partisan lean favoring Democrats. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Conaway faced no primary opposition after the June 2 contest, while Republicans have yet to coalesce behind a high-profile challenger capable of narrowing the gap. Traders price in the typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party and the structural advantages of incumbency, including fundraising, name recognition, and established constituent services. A late scandal, unexpected retirement, or dramatic national realignment could still reopen the race, but no such developments have materialized.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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