The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins in prior cycles, underpins the market's assessment of the Democratic nominee's position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement announcement after the filing deadline cleared the way for his chief of staff, Patty Garcia, who secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive Republican candidate positioned to mount a serious challenge in this Chicago-area district encompassing areas such as Cicero and Berwyn. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented partisan realignment or external factors such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$52,329 거래량
$52,329 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
3%
$52,329 거래량
$52,329 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$37,684 거래량
95%
공화당
$14,645 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins in prior cycles, underpins the market's assessment of the Democratic nominee's position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement announcement after the filing deadline cleared the way for his chief of staff, Patty Garcia, who secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive Republican candidate positioned to mount a serious challenge in this Chicago-area district encompassing areas such as Cicero and Berwyn. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented partisan realignment or external factors such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$52,329종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins in prior cycles, underpins the market's assessment of the Democratic nominee's position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement announcement after the filing deadline cleared the way for his chief of staff, Patty Garcia, who secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive Republican candidate positioned to mount a serious challenge in this Chicago-area district encompassing areas such as Cicero and Berwyn. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented partisan realignment or external factors such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$52,329종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins in prior cycles, underpins the market's assessment of the Democratic nominee's position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement announcement after the filing deadline cleared the way for his chief of staff, Patty Garcia, who secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary. Nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive Republican candidate positioned to mount a serious challenge in this Chicago-area district encompassing areas such as Cicero and Berwyn. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented partisan realignment or external factors such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문