Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley's decisive March 17 Democratic primary win, securing 65.5% against three challengers, bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for his party in the IL-05 House race, pitting him in a fifth general election rematch against Republican Tom Hanson. This solidly Democratic district (Cook PVI D+19, 68% Biden in 2024) has yielded Quigley 69-71% margins in four prior cycles over Hanson, earning universal safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No developments have shifted dynamics since primaries; challenges would require a major scandal, health issue for Quigley, or national Republican wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$1,365 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$1,465 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley's decisive March 17 Democratic primary win, securing 65.5% against three challengers, bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for his party in the IL-05 House race, pitting him in a fifth general election rematch against Republican Tom Hanson. This solidly Democratic district (Cook PVI D+19, 68% Biden in 2024) has yielded Quigley 69-71% margins in four prior cycles over Hanson, earning universal safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No developments have shifted dynamics since primaries; challenges would require a major scandal, health issue for Quigley, or national Republican wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$2,829종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley's decisive March 17 Democratic primary win, securing 65.5% against three challengers, bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for his party in the IL-05 House race, pitting him in a fifth general election rematch against Republican Tom Hanson. This solidly Democratic district (Cook PVI D+19, 68% Biden in 2024) has yielded Quigley 69-71% margins in four prior cycles over Hanson, earning universal safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No developments have shifted dynamics since primaries; challenges would require a major scandal, health issue for Quigley, or national Republican wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,829종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley's decisive March 17 Democratic primary win, securing 65.5% against three challengers, bolsters trader consensus at 93.5% for his party in the IL-05 House race, pitting him in a fifth general election rematch against Republican Tom Hanson. This solidly Democratic district (Cook PVI D+19, 68% Biden in 2024) has yielded Quigley 69-71% margins in four prior cycles over Hanson, earning universal safe Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. No developments have shifted dynamics since primaries; challenges would require a major scandal, health issue for Quigley, or national Republican wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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