Incumbent Republican David Joyce’s renomination in the May 5 primary and the district’s consistent partisan lean anchor trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting its voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. The Democratic primary winner, Maria Jukic, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have routinely secured double-digit margins. No late developments have altered this positioning, and the race lacks the polling volatility or external catalysts seen in more competitive Ohio districts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,691 거래량
$11,691 거래량
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$11,691 거래량
$11,691 거래량
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Joyce’s renomination in the May 5 primary and the district’s consistent partisan lean anchor trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting its voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. The Democratic primary winner, Maria Jukic, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have routinely secured double-digit margins. No late developments have altered this positioning, and the race lacks the polling volatility or external catalysts seen in more competitive Ohio districts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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