Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Chris Gober at 82% implied probability to win Texas' 10th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating after longtime incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement opened the race. Gober secured the GOP nomination outright in the March 3 primary amid a crowded 10-candidate field, finishing with 51% to avoid a runoff, bolstered by his conservative profile and recent FEC filings showing over $1.1 million raised and $262,000 cash on hand. Democrat Caitlin Rourk emerged from her party's runoff to claim the nomination, but the district's historical GOP dominance—spanning Austin suburbs to East Texas—and absence of competitive general election polls sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,212 거래량
$13,212 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
82%
민주당
15%
$13,212 거래량
$13,212 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$5,748 거래량
82%
민주당
$7,464 거래량
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Chris Gober at 82% implied probability to win Texas' 10th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating after longtime incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement opened the race. Gober secured the GOP nomination outright in the March 3 primary amid a crowded 10-candidate field, finishing with 51% to avoid a runoff, bolstered by his conservative profile and recent FEC filings showing over $1.1 million raised and $262,000 cash on hand. Democrat Caitlin Rourk emerged from her party's runoff to claim the nomination, but the district's historical GOP dominance—spanning Austin suburbs to East Texas—and absence of competitive general election polls sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$13,212종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Chris Gober at 82% implied probability to win Texas' 10th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating after longtime incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement opened the race. Gober secured the GOP nomination outright in the March 3 primary amid a crowded 10-candidate field, finishing with 51% to avoid a runoff, bolstered by his conservative profile and recent FEC filings showing over $1.1 million raised and $262,000 cash on hand. Democrat Caitlin Rourk emerged from her party's runoff to claim the nomination, but the district's historical GOP dominance—spanning Austin suburbs to East Texas—and absence of competitive general election polls sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,212종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republican Chris Gober at 82% implied probability to win Texas' 10th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating after longtime incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement opened the race. Gober secured the GOP nomination outright in the March 3 primary amid a crowded 10-candidate field, finishing with 51% to avoid a runoff, bolstered by his conservative profile and recent FEC filings showing over $1.1 million raised and $262,000 cash on hand. Democrat Caitlin Rourk emerged from her party's runoff to claim the nomination, but the district's historical GOP dominance—spanning Austin suburbs to East Texas—and absence of competitive general election polls sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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