Rep. Lisa McClain's incumbency and recent elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman in late 2024 have solidified trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, priced at 89.5% implied probability. The district, encompassing Republican-leaning areas in The Thumb and northern Metro Detroit, saw McClain's comfortable 2024 reelection amid favorable partisan fundamentals akin to historical safe seats. Democrats face a weakened primary field after Wyatt Clark suspended his campaign on March 9, 2026, endorsing Ray Pooley, a low-profile challenger ahead of the August 4 primaries. Absent major scandals or shifts, upcoming events like committee actions and fundraising will further shape dynamics through the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,248 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Lisa McClain's incumbency and recent elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman in late 2024 have solidified trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, priced at 89.5% implied probability. The district, encompassing Republican-leaning areas in The Thumb and northern Metro Detroit, saw McClain's comfortable 2024 reelection amid favorable partisan fundamentals akin to historical safe seats. Democrats face a weakened primary field after Wyatt Clark suspended his campaign on March 9, 2026, endorsing Ray Pooley, a low-profile challenger ahead of the August 4 primaries. Absent major scandals or shifts, upcoming events like committee actions and fundraising will further shape dynamics through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$2,248종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Lisa McClain's incumbency and recent elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman in late 2024 have solidified trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, priced at 89.5% implied probability. The district, encompassing Republican-leaning areas in The Thumb and northern Metro Detroit, saw McClain's comfortable 2024 reelection amid favorable partisan fundamentals akin to historical safe seats. Democrats face a weakened primary field after Wyatt Clark suspended his campaign on March 9, 2026, endorsing Ray Pooley, a low-profile challenger ahead of the August 4 primaries. Absent major scandals or shifts, upcoming events like committee actions and fundraising will further shape dynamics through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,248종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Lisa McClain's incumbency and recent elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman in late 2024 have solidified trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, priced at 89.5% implied probability. The district, encompassing Republican-leaning areas in The Thumb and northern Metro Detroit, saw McClain's comfortable 2024 reelection amid favorable partisan fundamentals akin to historical safe seats. Democrats face a weakened primary field after Wyatt Clark suspended his campaign on March 9, 2026, endorsing Ray Pooley, a low-profile challenger ahead of the August 4 primaries. Absent major scandals or shifts, upcoming events like committee actions and fundraising will further shape dynamics through the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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