Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan's 9th congressional district race, where the seat carries an R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and she secured 66.8% of the vote in 2024. The district encompasses The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs across Macomb, Oakland, and surrounding counties, producing consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. McClain faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Democratic nominee, Ray Pooley, enters as a lesser-known challenger with limited fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift with unusually high national Democratic turnout, major late-cycle developments, or unexpected primary dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,175 거래량
$10,175 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$10,175 거래량
$10,175 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,913 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$1,262 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan's 9th congressional district race, where the seat carries an R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and she secured 66.8% of the vote in 2024. The district encompasses The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs across Macomb, Oakland, and surrounding counties, producing consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. McClain faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Democratic nominee, Ray Pooley, enters as a lesser-known challenger with limited fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift with unusually high national Democratic turnout, major late-cycle developments, or unexpected primary dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$10,175종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan's 9th congressional district race, where the seat carries an R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and she secured 66.8% of the vote in 2024. The district encompasses The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs across Macomb, Oakland, and surrounding counties, producing consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. McClain faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Democratic nominee, Ray Pooley, enters as a lesser-known challenger with limited fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift with unusually high national Democratic turnout, major late-cycle developments, or unexpected primary dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,175종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan's 9th congressional district race, where the seat carries an R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and she secured 66.8% of the vote in 2024. The district encompasses The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs across Macomb, Oakland, and surrounding counties, producing consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. McClain faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Democratic nominee, Ray Pooley, enters as a lesser-known challenger with limited fundraising visibility. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though outcomes could shift with unusually high national Democratic turnout, major late-cycle developments, or unexpected primary dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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