Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva benefits from name recognition following her 2025 special election victory and faces minimal Republican opposition in a majority-Hispanic district spanning Tucson and border communities. The July 21 primaries and November general election timeline reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee, with limited polling or fundraising data suggesting any shift. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce volatility, though historical patterns in comparable districts indicate low likelihood of such changes altering the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,301 거래량
$10,301 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$10,301 거래량
$10,301 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,996 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$6,305 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva benefits from name recognition following her 2025 special election victory and faces minimal Republican opposition in a majority-Hispanic district spanning Tucson and border communities. The July 21 primaries and November general election timeline reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee, with limited polling or fundraising data suggesting any shift. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce volatility, though historical patterns in comparable districts indicate low likelihood of such changes altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$10,301종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva benefits from name recognition following her 2025 special election victory and faces minimal Republican opposition in a majority-Hispanic district spanning Tucson and border communities. The July 21 primaries and November general election timeline reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee, with limited polling or fundraising data suggesting any shift. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce volatility, though historical patterns in comparable districts indicate low likelihood of such changes altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,301종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Democratic seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva benefits from name recognition following her 2025 special election victory and faces minimal Republican opposition in a majority-Hispanic district spanning Tucson and border communities. The July 21 primaries and November general election timeline reinforce trader consensus around the Democratic nominee, with limited polling or fundraising data suggesting any shift. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce volatility, though historical patterns in comparable districts indicate low likelihood of such changes altering the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문