Trader consensus prices Democrats at 77.5% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat in the November 3 general election, reflecting optimism over a potential flip of the longtime Republican stronghold held by incumbent Rob Wittman since 2007. Recent analyses, including April 14 poll data suggesting Democratic viability in four GOP districts without redistricting, alongside strong challenger recruitment like prosecutor Shannon Taylor—who secured law enforcement endorsements in late March—have driven the shift. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican after upgrading from Likely R, highlighting competitiveness amid midterm dynamics, though odds diverge notably from traditional forecasters. Upcoming May 26 filing deadline, August 4 primaries, and April 21 constitutional amendment vote on legislative congressional redistricting introduce key catalysts that could reshape the race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,232 거래량
$15,232 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
76%
공화당
29%
$15,232 거래량
$15,232 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
$14,917 거래량
76%
공화당
$315 거래량
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democrats at 77.5% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat in the November 3 general election, reflecting optimism over a potential flip of the longtime Republican stronghold held by incumbent Rob Wittman since 2007. Recent analyses, including April 14 poll data suggesting Democratic viability in four GOP districts without redistricting, alongside strong challenger recruitment like prosecutor Shannon Taylor—who secured law enforcement endorsements in late March—have driven the shift. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican after upgrading from Likely R, highlighting competitiveness amid midterm dynamics, though odds diverge notably from traditional forecasters. Upcoming May 26 filing deadline, August 4 primaries, and April 21 constitutional amendment vote on legislative congressional redistricting introduce key catalysts that could reshape the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$15,232종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democrats at 77.5% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat in the November 3 general election, reflecting optimism over a potential flip of the longtime Republican stronghold held by incumbent Rob Wittman since 2007. Recent analyses, including April 14 poll data suggesting Democratic viability in four GOP districts without redistricting, alongside strong challenger recruitment like prosecutor Shannon Taylor—who secured law enforcement endorsements in late March—have driven the shift. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican after upgrading from Likely R, highlighting competitiveness amid midterm dynamics, though odds diverge notably from traditional forecasters. Upcoming May 26 filing deadline, August 4 primaries, and April 21 constitutional amendment vote on legislative congressional redistricting introduce key catalysts that could reshape the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,232종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democrats at 77.5% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District House seat in the November 3 general election, reflecting optimism over a potential flip of the longtime Republican stronghold held by incumbent Rob Wittman since 2007. Recent analyses, including April 14 poll data suggesting Democratic viability in four GOP districts without redistricting, alongside strong challenger recruitment like prosecutor Shannon Taylor—who secured law enforcement endorsements in late March—have driven the shift. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican after upgrading from Likely R, highlighting competitiveness amid midterm dynamics, though odds diverge notably from traditional forecasters. Upcoming May 26 filing deadline, August 4 primaries, and April 21 constitutional amendment vote on legislative congressional redistricting introduce key catalysts that could reshape the race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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