The Illinois 2nd Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and uniform Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Donna Miller’s March primary victory in a crowded open-seat field following Robin Kelly’s Senate bid further solidifies the position ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Historical patterns in this Chicago-area district, combined with limited recent polling or competitive signals, reinforce the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or turnout shift, though structural and demographic factors make such reversals unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$32,134 거래량
$32,134 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$32,134 거래량
$32,134 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,630 거래량
94%
공화당
$18,505 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and uniform Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Donna Miller’s March primary victory in a crowded open-seat field following Robin Kelly’s Senate bid further solidifies the position ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Historical patterns in this Chicago-area district, combined with limited recent polling or competitive signals, reinforce the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or turnout shift, though structural and demographic factors make such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$32,134종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and uniform Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Donna Miller’s March primary victory in a crowded open-seat field following Robin Kelly’s Senate bid further solidifies the position ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Historical patterns in this Chicago-area district, combined with limited recent polling or competitive signals, reinforce the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or turnout shift, though structural and demographic factors make such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$32,134종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and uniform Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Donna Miller’s March primary victory in a crowded open-seat field following Robin Kelly’s Senate bid further solidifies the position ahead of the November general election against the Republican nominee. Historical patterns in this Chicago-area district, combined with limited recent polling or competitive signals, reinforce the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or turnout shift, though structural and demographic factors make such reversals unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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