Incumbent Republican Josh Brecheen solidified his commanding position in Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District—a safe Republican seat with an R+28 partisan voting index and 77% Trump support in 2024—by announcing his third-term bid on April 2, 2026, ahead of the April 3 filing deadline. Brecheen faces only nominal primary opposition from self-funded challenger William Webb on June 16, while Democrats Erik Terwey and Brandon Wade, who previously lost decisively, hold minimal fundraising. Race raters like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the GOP. Realistic challenges include a Brecheen primary upset, personal scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave, ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,348 거래량
$11,348 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
6%
$11,348 거래량
$11,348 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$7,433 거래량
93%
민주당
$3,916 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Josh Brecheen solidified his commanding position in Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District—a safe Republican seat with an R+28 partisan voting index and 77% Trump support in 2024—by announcing his third-term bid on April 2, 2026, ahead of the April 3 filing deadline. Brecheen faces only nominal primary opposition from self-funded challenger William Webb on June 16, while Democrats Erik Terwey and Brandon Wade, who previously lost decisively, hold minimal fundraising. Race raters like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the GOP. Realistic challenges include a Brecheen primary upset, personal scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave, ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$11,348종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Josh Brecheen solidified his commanding position in Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District—a safe Republican seat with an R+28 partisan voting index and 77% Trump support in 2024—by announcing his third-term bid on April 2, 2026, ahead of the April 3 filing deadline. Brecheen faces only nominal primary opposition from self-funded challenger William Webb on June 16, while Democrats Erik Terwey and Brandon Wade, who previously lost decisively, hold minimal fundraising. Race raters like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the GOP. Realistic challenges include a Brecheen primary upset, personal scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave, ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,348종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Josh Brecheen solidified his commanding position in Oklahoma's 2nd Congressional District—a safe Republican seat with an R+28 partisan voting index and 77% Trump support in 2024—by announcing his third-term bid on April 2, 2026, ahead of the April 3 filing deadline. Brecheen faces only nominal primary opposition from self-funded challenger William Webb on June 16, while Democrats Erik Terwey and Brandon Wade, who previously lost decisively, hold minimal fundraising. Race raters like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the GOP. Realistic challenges include a Brecheen primary upset, personal scandal, or national Democratic midterm wave, ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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