Oklahoma's 1st congressional district carries an R+11 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, including a 60% margin for the prior incumbent in 2024. The seat opened after Rep. Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, prompting a crowded June 16 Republican primary while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters classify the November 3 general election as Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's established voting patterns. Traders price the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite ahead of the primary runoff and general election, with the outcome hinging on the GOP primary result rather than partisan shifts in the general contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,853 거래량
$11,853 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 거래량
$11,853 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$6,313 거래량
87%
Democratic Party
$5,540 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st congressional district carries an R+11 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, including a 60% margin for the prior incumbent in 2024. The seat opened after Rep. Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, prompting a crowded June 16 Republican primary while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters classify the November 3 general election as Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's established voting patterns. Traders price the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite ahead of the primary runoff and general election, with the outcome hinging on the GOP primary result rather than partisan shifts in the general contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$11,853종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 1st congressional district carries an R+11 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, including a 60% margin for the prior incumbent in 2024. The seat opened after Rep. Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, prompting a crowded June 16 Republican primary while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters classify the November 3 general election as Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's established voting patterns. Traders price the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite ahead of the primary runoff and general election, with the outcome hinging on the GOP primary result rather than partisan shifts in the general contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,853종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 1st congressional district carries an R+11 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, including a 60% margin for the prior incumbent in 2024. The seat opened after Rep. Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid, prompting a crowded June 16 Republican primary while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters classify the November 3 general election as Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and the district's established voting patterns. Traders price the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite ahead of the primary runoff and general election, with the outcome hinging on the GOP primary result rather than partisan shifts in the general contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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