Utah's 4th Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report (R+17 PVI), driving trader consensus to 90.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election despite incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 2026 retirement announcement following court-ordered redistricting that reshaped boundaries. Rep. Mike Kennedy, shifting into the district, leads with superior fundraising ($802K receipts, $371K cash-on-hand as of April), bolstering the party's edge in this reliably red Utah stronghold, historically decided by wide margins like Kennedy's prior 66% win. Party conventions on April 25 precede June 23 primaries, where GOP contenders include Kennedy, Isaiah Hardman, and Scott Hatfield against Democrats Jonny Larsen and Archie Williams III. Upsets could stem from a fractured Republican primary yielding a weakened nominee, Democratic turnout surge in battleground areas, scandals, or national midterm waves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$856 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$2,061 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report (R+17 PVI), driving trader consensus to 90.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election despite incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 2026 retirement announcement following court-ordered redistricting that reshaped boundaries. Rep. Mike Kennedy, shifting into the district, leads with superior fundraising ($802K receipts, $371K cash-on-hand as of April), bolstering the party's edge in this reliably red Utah stronghold, historically decided by wide margins like Kennedy's prior 66% win. Party conventions on April 25 precede June 23 primaries, where GOP contenders include Kennedy, Isaiah Hardman, and Scott Hatfield against Democrats Jonny Larsen and Archie Williams III. Upsets could stem from a fractured Republican primary yielding a weakened nominee, Democratic turnout surge in battleground areas, scandals, or national midterm waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$2,917종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report (R+17 PVI), driving trader consensus to 90.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election despite incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 2026 retirement announcement following court-ordered redistricting that reshaped boundaries. Rep. Mike Kennedy, shifting into the district, leads with superior fundraising ($802K receipts, $371K cash-on-hand as of April), bolstering the party's edge in this reliably red Utah stronghold, historically decided by wide margins like Kennedy's prior 66% win. Party conventions on April 25 precede June 23 primaries, where GOP contenders include Kennedy, Isaiah Hardman, and Scott Hatfield against Democrats Jonny Larsen and Archie Williams III. Upsets could stem from a fractured Republican primary yielding a weakened nominee, Democratic turnout surge in battleground areas, scandals, or national midterm waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,917종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report (R+17 PVI), driving trader consensus to 90.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election despite incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 2026 retirement announcement following court-ordered redistricting that reshaped boundaries. Rep. Mike Kennedy, shifting into the district, leads with superior fundraising ($802K receipts, $371K cash-on-hand as of April), bolstering the party's edge in this reliably red Utah stronghold, historically decided by wide margins like Kennedy's prior 66% win. Party conventions on April 25 precede June 23 primaries, where GOP contenders include Kennedy, Isaiah Hardman, and Scott Hatfield against Democrats Jonny Larsen and Archie Williams III. Upsets could stem from a fractured Republican primary yielding a weakened nominee, Democratic turnout surge in battleground areas, scandals, or national midterm waves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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