Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries but left the district's partisan balance largely intact, while the Democratic primary was canceled with only one candidate advancing. The Republican primary scheduled for June 23 features the incumbent seeking renomination against limited opposition. A sustained national Democratic wave or late-cycle scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district's voter composition make a competitive general election unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,043 거래량
$15,043 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,043 거래량
$15,043 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$5,494 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries but left the district's partisan balance largely intact, while the Democratic primary was canceled with only one candidate advancing. The Republican primary scheduled for June 23 features the incumbent seeking renomination against limited opposition. A sustained national Democratic wave or late-cycle scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district's voter composition make a competitive general election unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$15,043종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries but left the district's partisan balance largely intact, while the Democratic primary was canceled with only one candidate advancing. The Republican primary scheduled for June 23 features the incumbent seeking renomination against limited opposition. A sustained national Democratic wave or late-cycle scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district's voter composition make a competitive general election unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,043종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries but left the district's partisan balance largely intact, while the Democratic primary was canceled with only one candidate advancing. The Republican primary scheduled for June 23 features the incumbent seeking renomination against limited opposition. A sustained national Democratic wave or late-cycle scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district's voter composition make a competitive general election unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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