Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 76% for Virginia's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by the April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment enabling the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw congressional maps before the November 3 general election. Recent polls, including an April 3 survey showing 52% likely voter support amid low-turnout concerns, signal passage risks boosting Democratic chances in VA-05 by incorporating more Charlottesville-area voters. Democratic frontrunner Tom Perriello has consolidated support after Mike Pruitt's February endorsement and leads fundraising 3-to-1 over incumbent Rep. John McGuire (R), with the DCCC targeting the seat; primaries loom August 4 amid redistricting uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,017 거래량
$28,017 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
22%
$28,017 거래량
$28,017 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$15,349 거래량
76%
Republican Party
$12,668 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 76% for Virginia's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by the April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment enabling the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw congressional maps before the November 3 general election. Recent polls, including an April 3 survey showing 52% likely voter support amid low-turnout concerns, signal passage risks boosting Democratic chances in VA-05 by incorporating more Charlottesville-area voters. Democratic frontrunner Tom Perriello has consolidated support after Mike Pruitt's February endorsement and leads fundraising 3-to-1 over incumbent Rep. John McGuire (R), with the DCCC targeting the seat; primaries loom August 4 amid redistricting uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$28,017종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 76% for Virginia's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by the April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment enabling the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw congressional maps before the November 3 general election. Recent polls, including an April 3 survey showing 52% likely voter support amid low-turnout concerns, signal passage risks boosting Democratic chances in VA-05 by incorporating more Charlottesville-area voters. Democratic frontrunner Tom Perriello has consolidated support after Mike Pruitt's February endorsement and leads fundraising 3-to-1 over incumbent Rep. John McGuire (R), with the DCCC targeting the seat; primaries loom August 4 amid redistricting uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,017종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 76% for Virginia's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by the April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment enabling the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw congressional maps before the November 3 general election. Recent polls, including an April 3 survey showing 52% likely voter support amid low-turnout concerns, signal passage risks boosting Democratic chances in VA-05 by incorporating more Charlottesville-area voters. Democratic frontrunner Tom Perriello has consolidated support after Mike Pruitt's February endorsement and leads fundraising 3-to-1 over incumbent Rep. John McGuire (R), with the DCCC targeting the seat; primaries loom August 4 amid redistricting uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문