Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% for the CA-29 House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic dominance in the San Fernando Valley, her decisive 69.8% 2024 victory, and overwhelming fundraising edge with over $550,000 raised versus challengers' minimal hauls as of late March. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, unchanged through early May amid mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, underscore structural advantages including party endorsements from the California Democratic Party and unions. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Rudy Melendez (R) lags despite California GOP backing. Realistic challenges—a primary upset by Angélica María Dueñas (D), Rivas scandal, or national Republican wave—face steep barriers given historical partisan leans and incumbency.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,421 거래량
$15,421 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$15,421 거래량
$15,421 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$10,326 거래량
93%
공화당
$5,095 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% for the CA-29 House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic dominance in the San Fernando Valley, her decisive 69.8% 2024 victory, and overwhelming fundraising edge with over $550,000 raised versus challengers' minimal hauls as of late March. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, unchanged through early May amid mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, underscore structural advantages including party endorsements from the California Democratic Party and unions. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Rudy Melendez (R) lags despite California GOP backing. Realistic challenges—a primary upset by Angélica María Dueñas (D), Rivas scandal, or national Republican wave—face steep barriers given historical partisan leans and incumbency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$15,421종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% for the CA-29 House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic dominance in the San Fernando Valley, her decisive 69.8% 2024 victory, and overwhelming fundraising edge with over $550,000 raised versus challengers' minimal hauls as of late March. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, unchanged through early May amid mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, underscore structural advantages including party endorsements from the California Democratic Party and unions. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Rudy Melendez (R) lags despite California GOP backing. Realistic challenges—a primary upset by Angélica María Dueñas (D), Rivas scandal, or national Republican wave—face steep barriers given historical partisan leans and incumbency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,421종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% for the CA-29 House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic dominance in the San Fernando Valley, her decisive 69.8% 2024 victory, and overwhelming fundraising edge with over $550,000 raised versus challengers' minimal hauls as of late March. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, unchanged through early May amid mid-decade redistricting via Proposition 50, underscore structural advantages including party endorsements from the California Democratic Party and unions. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Rudy Melendez (R) lags despite California GOP backing. Realistic challenges—a primary upset by Angélica María Dueñas (D), Rivas scandal, or national Republican wave—face steep barriers given historical partisan leans and incumbency.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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