Incumbent Democratic Representative Judy Chu secured the nomination in California's June 2 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, advancing to face Republican April Verlato in the November general election for the state's 28th congressional district. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's strong partisan lean and historical results favoring the party by double-digit margins. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency, superior fundraising, and limited Republican infrastructure in a safely blue seat. A Democratic hold could still face disruption from late-cycle national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such factors have shown limited impact in comparable California districts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$99,109 거래량
$99,109 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
91%
공화당
11%
$99,109 거래량
$99,109 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$43,193 거래량
91%
공화당
$55,916 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Judy Chu secured the nomination in California's June 2 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, advancing to face Republican April Verlato in the November general election for the state's 28th congressional district. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's strong partisan lean and historical results favoring the party by double-digit margins. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency, superior fundraising, and limited Republican infrastructure in a safely blue seat. A Democratic hold could still face disruption from late-cycle national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such factors have shown limited impact in comparable California districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$99,109종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Judy Chu secured the nomination in California's June 2 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, advancing to face Republican April Verlato in the November general election for the state's 28th congressional district. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's strong partisan lean and historical results favoring the party by double-digit margins. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency, superior fundraising, and limited Republican infrastructure in a safely blue seat. A Democratic hold could still face disruption from late-cycle national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such factors have shown limited impact in comparable California districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$99,109종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Judy Chu secured the nomination in California's June 2 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, advancing to face Republican April Verlato in the November general election for the state's 28th congressional district. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's strong partisan lean and historical results favoring the party by double-digit margins. Traders appear to price in the advantages of incumbency, superior fundraising, and limited Republican infrastructure in a safely blue seat. A Democratic hold could still face disruption from late-cycle national political shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican turnout, though such factors have shown limited impact in comparable California districts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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