Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+15 partisan lean and incumbent Judy Chu's dominant track record, including 64.9% in the 2024 general election against the same Republican challenger, April Verlato. Major forecasters rate CA-28 Solid or Safe Democratic, with no polling or developments in the past 30 days altering this assessment ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where Chu faces one Democratic rival, Peter Roybal, and Verlato. Historical margins and voter composition in this Los Angeles-area battleground suggest minimal path for Republicans in November's general election barring unforeseen shifts like scandal or turnout surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$74,754 거래량
$74,754 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
90%
공화당
10%
$74,754 거래량
$74,754 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$41,330 거래량
90%
공화당
$33,424 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+15 partisan lean and incumbent Judy Chu's dominant track record, including 64.9% in the 2024 general election against the same Republican challenger, April Verlato. Major forecasters rate CA-28 Solid or Safe Democratic, with no polling or developments in the past 30 days altering this assessment ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where Chu faces one Democratic rival, Peter Roybal, and Verlato. Historical margins and voter composition in this Los Angeles-area battleground suggest minimal path for Republicans in November's general election barring unforeseen shifts like scandal or turnout surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$74,754종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+15 partisan lean and incumbent Judy Chu's dominant track record, including 64.9% in the 2024 general election against the same Republican challenger, April Verlato. Major forecasters rate CA-28 Solid or Safe Democratic, with no polling or developments in the past 30 days altering this assessment ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where Chu faces one Democratic rival, Peter Roybal, and Verlato. Historical margins and voter composition in this Los Angeles-area battleground suggest minimal path for Republicans in November's general election barring unforeseen shifts like scandal or turnout surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$74,754종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 89.5% to win California's 28th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+15 partisan lean and incumbent Judy Chu's dominant track record, including 64.9% in the 2024 general election against the same Republican challenger, April Verlato. Major forecasters rate CA-28 Solid or Safe Democratic, with no polling or developments in the past 30 days altering this assessment ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, where Chu faces one Democratic rival, Peter Roybal, and Verlato. Historical margins and voter composition in this Los Angeles-area battleground suggest minimal path for Republicans in November's general election barring unforeseen shifts like scandal or turnout surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문