Incumbent Republican Cory Mills' 13-point victory in 2024, aligning with Donald Trump's district margin, anchors trader consensus at 77% for the GOP in Florida's 7th Congressional District, a race rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Q1 2026 FEC filings show Democratic challenger Bale Dalton outraising Mills ($692,000 vs. $805,000) while holding a cash-on-hand lead ($464,000 vs. $116,000), signaling potential competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary field including Marialana Kinter and Noah Widmann. However, GOP primary challengers trail far behind Mills, and Florida's midterm dynamics favor incumbents in this Central Florida battleground, with August 18 primaries looming as the next catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
24%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,689 거래량
77%
Democratic Party
$2,183 거래량
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cory Mills' 13-point victory in 2024, aligning with Donald Trump's district margin, anchors trader consensus at 77% for the GOP in Florida's 7th Congressional District, a race rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Q1 2026 FEC filings show Democratic challenger Bale Dalton outraising Mills ($692,000 vs. $805,000) while holding a cash-on-hand lead ($464,000 vs. $116,000), signaling potential competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary field including Marialana Kinter and Noah Widmann. However, GOP primary challengers trail far behind Mills, and Florida's midterm dynamics favor incumbents in this Central Florida battleground, with August 18 primaries looming as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
거래량
$3,873종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cory Mills' 13-point victory in 2024, aligning with Donald Trump's district margin, anchors trader consensus at 77% for the GOP in Florida's 7th Congressional District, a race rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Q1 2026 FEC filings show Democratic challenger Bale Dalton outraising Mills ($692,000 vs. $805,000) while holding a cash-on-hand lead ($464,000 vs. $116,000), signaling potential competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary field including Marialana Kinter and Noah Widmann. However, GOP primary challengers trail far behind Mills, and Florida's midterm dynamics favor incumbents in this Central Florida battleground, with August 18 primaries looming as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,873종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cory Mills' 13-point victory in 2024, aligning with Donald Trump's district margin, anchors trader consensus at 77% for the GOP in Florida's 7th Congressional District, a race rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Q1 2026 FEC filings show Democratic challenger Bale Dalton outraising Mills ($692,000 vs. $805,000) while holding a cash-on-hand lead ($464,000 vs. $116,000), signaling potential competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary field including Marialana Kinter and Noah Widmann. However, GOP primary challengers trail far behind Mills, and Florida's midterm dynamics favor incumbents in this Central Florida battleground, with August 18 primaries looming as the next catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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