Idaho’s 2nd congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its eastern and northern Boise voter base, where the party consistently secures large margins in federal races. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Elinor Gilbreath, who won her party’s contest. Simpson’s multi-decade tenure, name recognition, and the district’s structural Republican advantage have produced the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,049 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$3,409 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its eastern and northern Boise voter base, where the party consistently secures large margins in federal races. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Elinor Gilbreath, who won her party’s contest. Simpson’s multi-decade tenure, name recognition, and the district’s structural Republican advantage have produced the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$6,458종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its eastern and northern Boise voter base, where the party consistently secures large margins in federal races. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Elinor Gilbreath, who won her party’s contest. Simpson’s multi-decade tenure, name recognition, and the district’s structural Republican advantage have produced the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,458종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 2nd congressional district has long favored Republican candidates due to its eastern and northern Boise voter base, where the party consistently secures large margins in federal races. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Elinor Gilbreath, who won her party’s contest. Simpson’s multi-decade tenure, name recognition, and the district’s structural Republican advantage have produced the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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