Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney's strong polling lead drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 88% to win Maryland's 6th Congressional District House seat in the November 3 general election. A Public Sentiment Institute poll from April 8-11 showed Delaney at 55% against a generic Republican at 31%, with challenger David Trone faring even better at 59%-31%, reflecting the district's Democratic lean in Montgomery and Western Maryland counties. Despite a crowded June 23 Democratic primary featuring self-funding Trone and six others, no Republican contender like three-time candidate Mariela Roca has gained traction amid heavy Democratic spending. Historical base rates for such D+ districts reinforce the low 9.5% implied probability for Republicans absent major shifts like scandals or turnout surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,230 거래량
$10,230 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
88%
공화당
10%
$10,230 거래량
$10,230 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$2,341 거래량
88%
공화당
$7,888 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney's strong polling lead drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 88% to win Maryland's 6th Congressional District House seat in the November 3 general election. A Public Sentiment Institute poll from April 8-11 showed Delaney at 55% against a generic Republican at 31%, with challenger David Trone faring even better at 59%-31%, reflecting the district's Democratic lean in Montgomery and Western Maryland counties. Despite a crowded June 23 Democratic primary featuring self-funding Trone and six others, no Republican contender like three-time candidate Mariela Roca has gained traction amid heavy Democratic spending. Historical base rates for such D+ districts reinforce the low 9.5% implied probability for Republicans absent major shifts like scandals or turnout surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$10,230종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney's strong polling lead drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 88% to win Maryland's 6th Congressional District House seat in the November 3 general election. A Public Sentiment Institute poll from April 8-11 showed Delaney at 55% against a generic Republican at 31%, with challenger David Trone faring even better at 59%-31%, reflecting the district's Democratic lean in Montgomery and Western Maryland counties. Despite a crowded June 23 Democratic primary featuring self-funding Trone and six others, no Republican contender like three-time candidate Mariela Roca has gained traction amid heavy Democratic spending. Historical base rates for such D+ districts reinforce the low 9.5% implied probability for Republicans absent major shifts like scandals or turnout surges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,230종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney's strong polling lead drives trader consensus favoring Democrats at 88% to win Maryland's 6th Congressional District House seat in the November 3 general election. A Public Sentiment Institute poll from April 8-11 showed Delaney at 55% against a generic Republican at 31%, with challenger David Trone faring even better at 59%-31%, reflecting the district's Democratic lean in Montgomery and Western Maryland counties. Despite a crowded June 23 Democratic primary featuring self-funding Trone and six others, no Republican contender like three-time candidate Mariela Roca has gained traction amid heavy Democratic spending. Historical base rates for such D+ districts reinforce the low 9.5% implied probability for Republicans absent major shifts like scandals or turnout surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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