New York’s 7th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in recent general elections. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has triggered a competitive June 23 Democratic primary among several candidates, yet the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure keep the general-election outcome heavily favored for the eventual Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting minimal crossover voting and the absence of a credible Republican contender capable of mounting a serious challenge. A late national Republican wave or unforeseen primary fallout producing an unusually weak nominee represent the primary, albeit low-probability, paths that could narrow the margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,285 거래량
$22,285 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,285 거래량
$22,285 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$11,501 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$10,784 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in recent general elections. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has triggered a competitive June 23 Democratic primary among several candidates, yet the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure keep the general-election outcome heavily favored for the eventual Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting minimal crossover voting and the absence of a credible Republican contender capable of mounting a serious challenge. A late national Republican wave or unforeseen primary fallout producing an unusually weak nominee represent the primary, albeit low-probability, paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$22,285종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in recent general elections. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has triggered a competitive June 23 Democratic primary among several candidates, yet the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure keep the general-election outcome heavily favored for the eventual Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting minimal crossover voting and the absence of a credible Republican contender capable of mounting a serious challenge. A late national Republican wave or unforeseen primary fallout producing an unusually weak nominee represent the primary, albeit low-probability, paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,285종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 7th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent double-digit margins in recent general elections. Longtime Representative Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has triggered a competitive June 23 Democratic primary among several candidates, yet the district’s partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure keep the general-election outcome heavily favored for the eventual Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting minimal crossover voting and the absence of a credible Republican contender capable of mounting a serious challenge. A late national Republican wave or unforeseen primary fallout producing an unusually weak nominee represent the primary, albeit low-probability, paths that could narrow the margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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