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정치·프라이머리

Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

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정치·프라이머리

Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Jocelyn Benson 84%

Chris Swanson 14.1%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.3%

Marni Sawicki 1.2%

Polymarket
신규

Jocelyn Benson 84%

Chris Swanson 14.1%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.3%

Marni Sawicki 1.2%

Polymarket
신규

Jocelyn Benson

$4,017 거래량

84%

Chris Swanson

$749 거래량

14%

Garlin Gilchrist

$779 거래량

1%

Marni Sawicki

$710 거래량

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Michigan's August 4, 2026, Democratic gubernatorial primary, bolstered by her internal Impact Research polling showing a commanding lead among Democrats, superior fundraising totals reported in February, and a key endorsement on April 13 from former Governor Jim Blanchard. Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson trails at 14.6% as the primary challenger, drawing on his law enforcement profile amid a thinned field after Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist suspended his bid in January to seek the Secretary of State nomination instead. Lesser-known candidates Marni Sawicki and Gilchrist linger at low odds, reflecting limited polling support and name recognition. Recent general election surveys, like the March 23-29 Impact Research poll placing Benson ahead of Republican John James, reinforce her frontrunner status, though turnout in key Democratic strongholds and any late scandals could shift dynamics before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$6,256
종료일
2026.08.04
마켓 개설일
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands trader consensus at 84% implied probability to win Michigan's August 4, 2026, Democratic gubernatorial primary, bolstered by her internal Impact Research polling showing a commanding lead among Democrats, superior fundraising totals reported in February, and a key endorsement on April 13 from former Governor Jim Blanchard. Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson trails at 14.6% as the primary challenger, drawing on his law enforcement profile amid a thinned field after Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist suspended his bid in January to seek the Secretary of State nomination instead. Lesser-known candidates Marni Sawicki and Gilchrist linger at low odds, reflecting limited polling support and name recognition. Recent general election surveys, like the March 23-29 Impact Research poll placing Benson ahead of Republican John James, reinforce her frontrunner status, though turnout in key Democratic strongholds and any late scandals could shift dynamics before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$6,256
종료일
2026.08.04
마켓 개설일
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner"은 4개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 84%의 "Jocelyn Benson"이며, 이어서 14%의 "Chris Swanson"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 84¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 84%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Dec 10, 2025에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 4개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner"의 현재 유력 후보는 84%의 "Jocelyn Benson"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 84%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 14%의 "Chris Swanson"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.