Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69% trader consensus in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush, driven by his narrow 2024 primary upset victory over her—48.8% to 45.4%—and proven general election strength in the safe Democratic St. Louis-area seat. Bell's incumbency advantage, coupled with a reported early February fundraising lead in cash on hand, bolsters his positioning despite Bush's progressive endorsements from groups like PAL PAC and National Nurses United. A late February Bush campaign poll released mid-April showed them statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely primary voters, but traders discount it amid historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar House primaries. The August 4 open primary looms as the key test.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.08.04
Wesley Bell
69%
Cori Bush
32%
신규
신규
2026.08.04
Wesley Bell
$2,820 거래량
69%
Cori Bush
$2,454 거래량
32%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69% trader consensus in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush, driven by his narrow 2024 primary upset victory over her—48.8% to 45.4%—and proven general election strength in the safe Democratic St. Louis-area seat. Bell's incumbency advantage, coupled with a reported early February fundraising lead in cash on hand, bolsters his positioning despite Bush's progressive endorsements from groups like PAL PAC and National Nurses United. A late February Bush campaign poll released mid-April showed them statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely primary voters, but traders discount it amid historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar House primaries. The August 4 open primary looms as the key test.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
거래량
$5,274종료일
2026.08.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69% trader consensus in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush, driven by his narrow 2024 primary upset victory over her—48.8% to 45.4%—and proven general election strength in the safe Democratic St. Louis-area seat. Bell's incumbency advantage, coupled with a reported early February fundraising lead in cash on hand, bolsters his positioning despite Bush's progressive endorsements from groups like PAL PAC and National Nurses United. A late February Bush campaign poll released mid-April showed them statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely primary voters, but traders discount it amid historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar House primaries. The August 4 open primary looms as the key test.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$5,274종료일
2026.08.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69% trader consensus in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush, driven by his narrow 2024 primary upset victory over her—48.8% to 45.4%—and proven general election strength in the safe Democratic St. Louis-area seat. Bell's incumbency advantage, coupled with a reported early February fundraising lead in cash on hand, bolsters his positioning despite Bush's progressive endorsements from groups like PAL PAC and National Nurses United. A late February Bush campaign poll released mid-April showed them statistically tied at 44%-40% among likely primary voters, but traders discount it amid historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar House primaries. The August 4 open primary looms as the key test.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문