Virginia traders price a new congressional map at 85.5% likely for the 2026 midterms, driven by robust early voting turnout exceeding prior gubernatorial elections—nearing 1 million ballots as of mid-April ahead of the April 21 special election referendum. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey (March 26-31) showing 52% yes support among likely voters, bolster confidence despite narrow margins and some opposition leads in earlier surveys. The Democratic-controlled General Assembly passed House Bill 29 in February, proposing a map shifting to 10 Democratic-leaning districts based on 2025 gubernatorial results, after Virginia Supreme Court rulings in February and March cleared legal challenges. If approved, it overrides the 2021 commission map through 2030; rejection keeps the status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
신규
신규
2026.11.03
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders price a new congressional map at 85.5% likely for the 2026 midterms, driven by robust early voting turnout exceeding prior gubernatorial elections—nearing 1 million ballots as of mid-April ahead of the April 21 special election referendum. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey (March 26-31) showing 52% yes support among likely voters, bolster confidence despite narrow margins and some opposition leads in earlier surveys. The Democratic-controlled General Assembly passed House Bill 29 in February, proposing a map shifting to 10 Democratic-leaning districts based on 2025 gubernatorial results, after Virginia Supreme Court rulings in February and March cleared legal challenges. If approved, it overrides the 2021 commission map through 2030; rejection keeps the status quo.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
거래량
$408종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders price a new congressional map at 85.5% likely for the 2026 midterms, driven by robust early voting turnout exceeding prior gubernatorial elections—nearing 1 million ballots as of mid-April ahead of the April 21 special election referendum. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey (March 26-31) showing 52% yes support among likely voters, bolster confidence despite narrow margins and some opposition leads in earlier surveys. The Democratic-controlled General Assembly passed House Bill 29 in February, proposing a map shifting to 10 Democratic-leaning districts based on 2025 gubernatorial results, after Virginia Supreme Court rulings in February and March cleared legal challenges. If approved, it overrides the 2021 commission map through 2030; rejection keeps the status quo.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$408종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia traders price a new congressional map at 85.5% likely for the 2026 midterms, driven by robust early voting turnout exceeding prior gubernatorial elections—nearing 1 million ballots as of mid-April ahead of the April 21 special election referendum. Recent polls, including a Washington Post/Schar survey (March 26-31) showing 52% yes support among likely voters, bolster confidence despite narrow margins and some opposition leads in earlier surveys. The Democratic-controlled General Assembly passed House Bill 29 in February, proposing a map shifting to 10 Democratic-leaning districts based on 2025 gubernatorial results, after Virginia Supreme Court rulings in February and March cleared legal challenges. If approved, it overrides the 2021 commission map through 2030; rejection keeps the status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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