Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Indiana 4th Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, prior primary victories including 64% in 2024, and President Trump's recent endorsement that has bolstered his position amid early voting. State Rep. Craig Haggard trails as the viable challenger after securing key backing from Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita in late March and NRA A+ rating, appealing to voters seeking fresher leadership on issues like border security and Second Amendment rights, yet incumbency and fundraising edges keep Baird dominant. Businessman John Piper remains a longshot with minimal support. No public polls have emerged, underscoring uncertainty until election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Jim Baird 83%
Craig Haggard 10%
John Piper <1%
신규
신규
2026.05.05
Jim Baird
83%
Craig Haggard
10%
John Piper
1%
Jim Baird 83%
Craig Haggard 10%
John Piper <1%
신규
신규
2026.05.05
Jim Baird
$268 거래량
83%
Craig Haggard
$465 거래량
10%
John Piper
$653 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Indiana 4th Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, prior primary victories including 64% in 2024, and President Trump's recent endorsement that has bolstered his position amid early voting. State Rep. Craig Haggard trails as the viable challenger after securing key backing from Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita in late March and NRA A+ rating, appealing to voters seeking fresher leadership on issues like border security and Second Amendment rights, yet incumbency and fundraising edges keep Baird dominant. Businessman John Piper remains a longshot with minimal support. No public polls have emerged, underscoring uncertainty until election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
거래량
$1,385종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Indiana 4th Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, prior primary victories including 64% in 2024, and President Trump's recent endorsement that has bolstered his position amid early voting. State Rep. Craig Haggard trails as the viable challenger after securing key backing from Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita in late March and NRA A+ rating, appealing to voters seeking fresher leadership on issues like border security and Second Amendment rights, yet incumbency and fundraising edges keep Baird dominant. Businessman John Piper remains a longshot with minimal support. No public polls have emerged, underscoring uncertainty until election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$1,385종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Indiana 4th Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage, prior primary victories including 64% in 2024, and President Trump's recent endorsement that has bolstered his position amid early voting. State Rep. Craig Haggard trails as the viable challenger after securing key backing from Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita in late March and NRA A+ rating, appealing to voters seeking fresher leadership on issues like border security and Second Amendment rights, yet incumbency and fundraising edges keep Baird dominant. Businessman John Piper remains a longshot with minimal support. No public polls have emerged, underscoring uncertainty until election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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