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정치·트럼프

NJ-11 특별 선거 승자

Market icon
정치·트럼프

NJ-11 특별 선거 승자

아날릴리아 메히아 99.8%

조 해더웨이 <1%

앨런 본드 <1%

Polymarket

$43,368 거래량

아날릴리아 메히아 99.8%

조 해더웨이 <1%

앨런 본드 <1%

Polymarket

$43,368 거래량

아날릴리아 메히아

$23,688 거래량

100%

조 해더웨이

$8,057 거래량

<1%

앨런 본드

$11,623 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.**Analilia Mejia's near-certain trader consensus in the NJ-11 special election stems from the district's strong Democratic history—rated +17 Biden and +9 Harris—paired with her February victory in a crowded Democratic primary over Tom Malinowski, followed by internal party unity.** Recent polls show her leading Republican Joe Hathaway 53%-36%, bolstered by early voting turnout favoring Democrats 49%-37% through April 15, with Election Day voting underway today, April 16. Joe Hathaway, former Randolph mayor, and minor candidate Alan Bond trail amid limited GOP resources in this safe blue seat. While a dramatic Republican surge, weather disruptions, or late scandal could theoretically shift results, historical special election patterns and high Democratic mobilization in battleground-adjacent suburbs make upsets improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.
거래량
$43,368
종료일
2026.04.16
마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.**Analilia Mejia's near-certain trader consensus in the NJ-11 special election stems from the district's strong Democratic history—rated +17 Biden and +9 Harris—paired with her February victory in a crowded Democratic primary over Tom Malinowski, followed by internal party unity.** Recent polls show her leading Republican Joe Hathaway 53%-36%, bolstered by early voting turnout favoring Democrats 49%-37% through April 15, with Election Day voting underway today, April 16. Joe Hathaway, former Randolph mayor, and minor candidate Alan Bond trail amid limited GOP resources in this safe blue seat. While a dramatic Republican surge, weather disruptions, or late scandal could theoretically shift results, historical special election patterns and high Democratic mobilization in battleground-adjacent suburbs make upsets improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.
거래량
$43,368
종료일
2026.04.16
마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for New Jersey's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election is scheduled to take place April 16, 2026. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.nj.gov/state/.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"NJ-11 특별 선거 승자"은 3개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 100%의 "아날릴리아 메히아"이며, 이어서 0%의 "조 해더웨이"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 100¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "NJ-11 특별 선거 승자"은 총 $43.4K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Feb 26, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"NJ-11 특별 선거 승자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 3개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"NJ-11 특별 선거 승자"의 현재 유력 후보는 100%의 "아날릴리아 메히아"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 0%의 "조 해더웨이"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"NJ-11 특별 선거 승자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.