The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, certified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after passing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly in January as its second required resolution, drives trader consensus toward passage at 63.5% implied probability for Yes. Early polling from the VCU Wilder Commonwealth Poll shows 62% support among Virginians, aligning closely with market pricing and reflecting post-Dobbs momentum for enshrining abortion access up to the third trimester with limited exceptions. Partisan divides persist, with high Democratic backing offset by Republican opposition, while Virginia's battleground status and midterm turnout dynamics introduce uncertainty ahead of the vote requiring simple majority approval. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, certified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after passing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly in January as its second required resolution, drives trader consensus toward passage at 63.5% implied probability for Yes. Early polling from the VCU Wilder Commonwealth Poll shows 62% support among Virginians, aligning closely with market pricing and reflecting post-Dobbs momentum for enshrining abortion access up to the third trimester with limited exceptions. Partisan divides persist, with high Democratic backing offset by Republican opposition, while Virginia's battleground status and midterm turnout dynamics introduce uncertainty ahead of the vote requiring simple majority approval. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
거래량
$17종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, certified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after passing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly in January as its second required resolution, drives trader consensus toward passage at 63.5% implied probability for Yes. Early polling from the VCU Wilder Commonwealth Poll shows 62% support among Virginians, aligning closely with market pricing and reflecting post-Dobbs momentum for enshrining abortion access up to the third trimester with limited exceptions. Partisan divides persist, with high Democratic backing offset by Republican opposition, while Virginia's battleground status and midterm turnout dynamics introduce uncertainty ahead of the vote requiring simple majority approval. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
거래량
$17종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment, certified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after passing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly in January as its second required resolution, drives trader consensus toward passage at 63.5% implied probability for Yes. Early polling from the VCU Wilder Commonwealth Poll shows 62% support among Virginians, aligning closely with market pricing and reflecting post-Dobbs momentum for enshrining abortion access up to the third trimester with limited exceptions. Partisan divides persist, with high Democratic backing offset by Republican opposition, while Virginia's battleground status and midterm turnout dynamics introduce uncertainty ahead of the vote requiring simple majority approval. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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