Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 24% implied probability, driven by record primary turnout in early contests like Texas and North Carolina in March 2026, signaling sustained voter enthusiasm after 2024's 65% voting-age turnout benchmark. This edges out 115-120 million at 18%, reflecting uncertainty over mobilization in battleground states amid tight generic ballot polls showing Democrats slightly ahead but with narrowing leads. Polarization sustains high participation expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total, yet economic headwinds, enthusiasm gaps between parties, and varying early voting access could suppress numbers. Intensified registration drives, upcoming primaries through summer, or shifts in national mood from economic data or scandals may widen separation toward record midterm levels.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트125-130m 21%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 14%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
<85m
5%
85-90m
8%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
13%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
14%
125-130m
24%
130m+
7%
125-130m 21%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 14%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
<85m
$319 거래량
5%
85-90m
$419 거래량
8%
90-95m
$831 거래량
<1%
95-100m
$269 거래량
3%
100-105m
$631 거래량
6%
105-110m
$431 거래량
13%
110-115m
$339 거래량
15%
115-120m
$1,020 거래량
18%
120-125m
$371 거래량
14%
125-130m
$1,157 거래량
24%
130m+
$245 거래량
7%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 24% implied probability, driven by record primary turnout in early contests like Texas and North Carolina in March 2026, signaling sustained voter enthusiasm after 2024's 65% voting-age turnout benchmark. This edges out 115-120 million at 18%, reflecting uncertainty over mobilization in battleground states amid tight generic ballot polls showing Democrats slightly ahead but with narrowing leads. Polarization sustains high participation expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total, yet economic headwinds, enthusiasm gaps between parties, and varying early voting access could suppress numbers. Intensified registration drives, upcoming primaries through summer, or shifts in national mood from economic data or scandals may widen separation toward record midterm levels.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
거래량
$6,031종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 24% implied probability, driven by record primary turnout in early contests like Texas and North Carolina in March 2026, signaling sustained voter enthusiasm after 2024's 65% voting-age turnout benchmark. This edges out 115-120 million at 18%, reflecting uncertainty over mobilization in battleground states amid tight generic ballot polls showing Democrats slightly ahead but with narrowing leads. Polarization sustains high participation expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total, yet economic headwinds, enthusiasm gaps between parties, and varying early voting access could suppress numbers. Intensified registration drives, upcoming primaries through summer, or shifts in national mood from economic data or scandals may widen separation toward record midterm levels.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
거래량
$6,031종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in House races at 24% implied probability, driven by record primary turnout in early contests like Texas and North Carolina in March 2026, signaling sustained voter enthusiasm after 2024's 65% voting-age turnout benchmark. This edges out 115-120 million at 18%, reflecting uncertainty over mobilization in battleground states amid tight generic ballot polls showing Democrats slightly ahead but with narrowing leads. Polarization sustains high participation expectations above 2022's roughly 111 million total, yet economic headwinds, enthusiasm gaps between parties, and varying early voting access could suppress numbers. Intensified registration drives, upcoming primaries through summer, or shifts in national mood from economic data or scandals may widen separation toward record midterm levels.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문