Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in federal elections, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Cynthia Lummis, anchors trader consensus around a Republican general-election victory in the November 2026 contest. An August Republican primary featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from former President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso, along with other declared candidates, faces only a limited Democratic field ahead of the November 3 vote. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the state's electoral history and structural advantages. A significant primary surprise or unforeseen development involving the eventual nominee remains the primary path that could shift positioning before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,519 거래량
$10,519 거래량

Republican
94%

Democrat
4%
$10,519 거래량
$10,519 거래량

Republican
94%

Democrat
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in federal elections, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Cynthia Lummis, anchors trader consensus around a Republican general-election victory in the November 2026 contest. An August Republican primary featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from former President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso, along with other declared candidates, faces only a limited Democratic field ahead of the November 3 vote. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the state's electoral history and structural advantages. A significant primary surprise or unforeseen development involving the eventual nominee remains the primary path that could shift positioning before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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