Wyoming's U.S. Senate seat, opened by Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, remains a commanding Republican hold at 93% trader consensus, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan lean—Republicans have won every statewide election by double digits since 2010, with no Democratic senator since 1977. At-large Rep. Harriet Hageman, a strong GOP frontrunner who announced her bid days later, leads a primary field including veteran Jimmy Skovgard ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries, while Democrats' thin lineup is anchored by former state Rep. James Byrd. Absent public polls, historical base rates and weak opposition sustain the lopsided odds, though a bruising GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national Democratic wave could narrow the path.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
93%
Democrat
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$5,891 거래량
93%
Democrat
$2,187 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's U.S. Senate seat, opened by Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, remains a commanding Republican hold at 93% trader consensus, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan lean—Republicans have won every statewide election by double digits since 2010, with no Democratic senator since 1977. At-large Rep. Harriet Hageman, a strong GOP frontrunner who announced her bid days later, leads a primary field including veteran Jimmy Skovgard ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries, while Democrats' thin lineup is anchored by former state Rep. James Byrd. Absent public polls, historical base rates and weak opposition sustain the lopsided odds, though a bruising GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national Democratic wave could narrow the path.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$8,078종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's U.S. Senate seat, opened by Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, remains a commanding Republican hold at 93% trader consensus, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan lean—Republicans have won every statewide election by double digits since 2010, with no Democratic senator since 1977. At-large Rep. Harriet Hageman, a strong GOP frontrunner who announced her bid days later, leads a primary field including veteran Jimmy Skovgard ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries, while Democrats' thin lineup is anchored by former state Rep. James Byrd. Absent public polls, historical base rates and weak opposition sustain the lopsided odds, though a bruising GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national Democratic wave could narrow the path.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$8,078종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's U.S. Senate seat, opened by Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, remains a commanding Republican hold at 93% trader consensus, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan lean—Republicans have won every statewide election by double digits since 2010, with no Democratic senator since 1977. At-large Rep. Harriet Hageman, a strong GOP frontrunner who announced her bid days later, leads a primary field including veteran Jimmy Skovgard ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries, while Democrats' thin lineup is anchored by former state Rep. James Byrd. Absent public polls, historical base rates and weak opposition sustain the lopsided odds, though a bruising GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national Democratic wave could narrow the path.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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