Trader consensus on turnout for the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26 reflects uncertainty over historical runoff declines versus mobilization potential in this high-stakes, record-expensive contest exceeding $110 million in ad spending. The March 3 primary saw record-shattering statewide turnout topping 4.5 million total votes, with Republicans drawing strong participation amid the crowded field, but runoffs typically drop 50-70% due to voter fatigue. Recent polls showing Paxton leading 53-37% have spurred Cornyn's aggressive response, while absent Trump endorsement and GOP leadership hesitation sustain base enthusiasm; voter registration closes April 27, early voting May 18-22 could tip toward higher bins if turnout efforts intensify, keeping lower ranges slightly ahead amid contested dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트90만~120만 16%
<60만 14%
150만~180만 5.0%
120만–150만 2.2%
$37,624 거래량
$37,624 거래량
2026.05.26
<60만
18%
60만~90만
38%
90만~120만
21%
120만–150만
27%
150만~180만
5%
180만~210만
2%
210만~240만
1%
240만–270만
2%
270만 명 이상
1%
90만~120만 16%
<60만 14%
150만~180만 5.0%
120만–150만 2.2%
$37,624 거래량
$37,624 거래량
2026.05.26
<60만
$795 거래량
18%
60만~90만
$30,343 거래량
38%
90만~120만
$664 거래량
21%
120만–150만
$4,023 거래량
27%
150만~180만
$282 거래량
5%
180만~210만
$545 거래량
2%
210만~240만
$255 거래량
1%
240만–270만
$410 거래량
2%
270만 명 이상
$306 거래량
1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on turnout for the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26 reflects uncertainty over historical runoff declines versus mobilization potential in this high-stakes, record-expensive contest exceeding $110 million in ad spending. The March 3 primary saw record-shattering statewide turnout topping 4.5 million total votes, with Republicans drawing strong participation amid the crowded field, but runoffs typically drop 50-70% due to voter fatigue. Recent polls showing Paxton leading 53-37% have spurred Cornyn's aggressive response, while absent Trump endorsement and GOP leadership hesitation sustain base enthusiasm; voter registration closes April 27, early voting May 18-22 could tip toward higher bins if turnout efforts intensify, keeping lower ranges slightly ahead amid contested dynamics.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
거래량
$37,624종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on turnout for the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26 reflects uncertainty over historical runoff declines versus mobilization potential in this high-stakes, record-expensive contest exceeding $110 million in ad spending. The March 3 primary saw record-shattering statewide turnout topping 4.5 million total votes, with Republicans drawing strong participation amid the crowded field, but runoffs typically drop 50-70% due to voter fatigue. Recent polls showing Paxton leading 53-37% have spurred Cornyn's aggressive response, while absent Trump endorsement and GOP leadership hesitation sustain base enthusiasm; voter registration closes April 27, early voting May 18-22 could tip toward higher bins if turnout efforts intensify, keeping lower ranges slightly ahead amid contested dynamics.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$37,624종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on turnout for the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26 reflects uncertainty over historical runoff declines versus mobilization potential in this high-stakes, record-expensive contest exceeding $110 million in ad spending. The March 3 primary saw record-shattering statewide turnout topping 4.5 million total votes, with Republicans drawing strong participation amid the crowded field, but runoffs typically drop 50-70% due to voter fatigue. Recent polls showing Paxton leading 53-37% have spurred Cornyn's aggressive response, while absent Trump endorsement and GOP leadership hesitation sustain base enthusiasm; voter registration closes April 27, early voting May 18-22 could tip toward higher bins if turnout efforts intensify, keeping lower ranges slightly ahead amid contested dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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