James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas U.S. Senate in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett with over 50% of the vote, positioning him as the general election challenger on November 3. The Republican primary forces a May 26 runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton after neither cleared a majority—Paxton nearly matched Cornyn's 42% share despite the senator's incumbency and national fundraising prowess. Trader consensus prices a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's strong base turnout in the first round, recent polls showing him leading or tied in the runoff, and endorsements like CPAC's, even as Cornyn holds an $8 million cash-on-hand edge and Talarico announced a record $27 million first-quarter haul yesterday signaling Democratic enthusiasm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트탈라리코 & 팍스턴 60%
탈라리코 & 코닌 39%
기타 <1%
크로켓 & 팩스턴 <1%
$667,125 거래량
$667,125 거래량
2026.03.03
탈라리코 & 팍스턴
60%
탈라리코 & 코닌
39%
기타
1%
크로켓 & 팩스턴
<1%
크로켓 & 코닌
<1%
탈라리코 & 헌트
<1%
크로켓 & 헌트
<1%
탈라리코 & 팍스턴 60%
탈라리코 & 코닌 39%
기타 <1%
크로켓 & 팩스턴 <1%
$667,125 거래량
$667,125 거래량
2026.03.03
탈라리코 & 팍스턴
$248,993 거래량
60%
탈라리코 & 코닌
$178,000 거래량
39%
기타
$26,474 거래량
1%
크로켓 & 팩스턴
$104,197 거래량
<1%
크로켓 & 코닌
$64,298 거래량
<1%
탈라리코 & 헌트
$22,572 거래량
<1%
크로켓 & 헌트
$22,592 거래량
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas U.S. Senate in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett with over 50% of the vote, positioning him as the general election challenger on November 3. The Republican primary forces a May 26 runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton after neither cleared a majority—Paxton nearly matched Cornyn's 42% share despite the senator's incumbency and national fundraising prowess. Trader consensus prices a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's strong base turnout in the first round, recent polls showing him leading or tied in the runoff, and endorsements like CPAC's, even as Cornyn holds an $8 million cash-on-hand edge and Talarico announced a record $27 million first-quarter haul yesterday signaling Democratic enthusiasm.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
거래량
$667,125종료일
2026.03.03마켓 개설일
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas U.S. Senate in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett with over 50% of the vote, positioning him as the general election challenger on November 3. The Republican primary forces a May 26 runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton after neither cleared a majority—Paxton nearly matched Cornyn's 42% share despite the senator's incumbency and national fundraising prowess. Trader consensus prices a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's strong base turnout in the first round, recent polls showing him leading or tied in the runoff, and endorsements like CPAC's, even as Cornyn holds an $8 million cash-on-hand edge and Talarico announced a record $27 million first-quarter haul yesterday signaling Democratic enthusiasm.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$667,125종료일
2026.03.03마켓 개설일
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas U.S. Senate in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett with over 50% of the vote, positioning him as the general election challenger on November 3. The Republican primary forces a May 26 runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton after neither cleared a majority—Paxton nearly matched Cornyn's 42% share despite the senator's incumbency and national fundraising prowess. Trader consensus prices a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's strong base turnout in the first round, recent polls showing him leading or tied in the runoff, and endorsements like CPAC's, even as Cornyn holds an $8 million cash-on-hand edge and Talarico announced a record $27 million first-quarter haul yesterday signaling Democratic enthusiasm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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